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Posted: 20th June 2008 16:58
Federer: still the man to beat
Ana Ivanovic will of course be going into the tournament as the world number one after winning the French Open and she is more than capable of going all the way this year, but I wouldn't want to put money on her.
Tennis is in a golden period according to Gerry Williams, who believes the game has never been more competitive.
Both the men's and women's draws are littered with household names and the battles for their respective titles are expected to be the most hotly contested in recent years.
Gerry has been a tennis journalist and commentator for over 40 years and will be keeping you up to date with all the goings ons from SW19 in his daily blog from Tuesday.
In his second piece he looks in detail at both the men's and women's draw and analyses the great British hope...
It's very difficult to look past the top three seeds, Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic.
Federer and Nadal have taken tennis to a different level. Federer is the most gifted player that I've ever seen and I think he's even slightly more gifted than Pete Sampras. Sampras used to play the beautiful game, but Federer plays it even slightly better.
At the start of the year Federer was suffering from glandular fever and by his standards failed at the Australian Open, going out at the semi-finals in straight sets to Djokovic. But anyone who has ever had glandular fever will tell you that it really wears you down over a long time.
He was then killed by Nadal in the final of the French Open and I think a lot of people now think that Nadal is now at a peak and probably unbeatable, even though grass is not his surface.
But I think people should be weary of that thought for two reasons. Firstly, Nadal may have peaked too soon for Wimbledon. He will have played two weeks at the French expending this enormous amount of physical and nervous energy. He then went to Queens and won two terribly important games there. Meanwhile Federer has been a bit more relaxed in his preparation and played at Halle in Germany which is a sub division event.
And secondly I think we could have a repeat of what happened last year where Nadal gets into a position where you think he can win and then Federer goes into overdrive and no body can touch Federer when he is in overdrive, so I would just caution people not to forget that.
Djokovic is a wonderful player, but I don't think he will be up to it physically over a two week tournament. He doesn't have a big shot that can dominate a point, so he consistently has to play long rallies to win a point, whereas both Nadal and Federer can both win a point very quickly.
Tennis as a whole is really going through a golden period and the women's game is evidence of that - It really is very competitive this year.
Ana Ivanovic will of course be going into the tournament as the world number one after winning the French Open and she is more than capable of going all the way this year, but I wouldn't want to put money on her.
If I was going to put my money anywhere it would probably be on for Maria Sharapova because she hit's the ball so hard and has such amazing tenacity on every single shot that she plays.
People over here don't like the way she grunts after every shot, but nowhere else in the world does anyone pay any attention to it.
The Williams sisters both got dumped out of the French and people accuse them of not playing enough now - and there is an element of that because they do have other things that they seem to do, but anyone who dismisses them would be wrong to do so.
My biggest disappointment however, is that Justine Henin will not be there this year, because in the last five years she has been the outstanding woman player, but unfortunately Wimbledon has never seen her at her best.
My hunch is that her sudden retirement before the French was to do with her needing some joy and stability in her private life and it wouldn't surprise me in a couple of years if she makes a return. I really hope she does because she is the most beautiful sight on the tennis court.
British tennis is in a pretty perilous position when you think back to all the pros that we used to have and of course we don't have Tim Henman now.
I don't think Andy Murray has a reasonable chance of winning Wimbledon this year and I say that despite the fact that he has beaten most of the best players in the world. But it's one thing to beat them in lesser events and quite another to beat them at a Grand Slam.
I think Murray is one of the cleverest of all the young players out there today - he's got a wide selection of shots and he has a very mature understanding of tactics. There is a plan in every shot he plays and I admire him enormously.
But his weakness is that he is the only top British tennis player. Henman always had Greg Rusedski who was vying with him all the time, even though they get on. If you look at Djokovic there are a bunch of Serbian players and it's the same in the women's game with Ana Ivanovic and Jelena Jankovic.
But Murray has no one, which means every time he walks onto the court of falls onto his thumb or sprains his leg, it's front page news and that is not easy.
He is one of the best five or six young players in the world though and I think it will be two or three years before we see the best of him.
Gael Monfils upset number two seed Fernando Gonzalez on Friday to reach the semi-finals of the Vienna Open.
Top-seed Jelena Jankovic defeated Italian Flavia Pennetta on Friday to reach the semifinals of the Kremlin Cup.
World number two Roger Federer will return to action at the Madrid Masters event next week, according to the competition's organisers.
Argentina will stage next month's Davis Cup final against Spain on an indoor court, the ITF said on Friday.
Top seed David Nalbandian reached the semi-finals of the Stockholm Open with a straight-sets win over Albert Montanes.
Comments
Clair Allan says...
I have been a fan of Nadal since he won his first French Open when he was 18. He has an enormous presence on court and some funny little habits! but I find him quite endearing. I do hope he wins this year, he deserves it. I wouldn´t place a bet on it though! Clair Allan Hondon de los Frailes Alicante, Spain
Posted 12:42 23rd June 2008
Mukalya Nampito says...
Why are you discounting Djokovic? The Australian Open is also over two weeks and he managed to win that one. He is a serious contender for this one just like Federer and Nadal. Personally, I would like Nadal to win just so he shut everyone up who thinks he can never win Wimbledon. He won the Stella Artois one on grass but a Grand Slam event is a Grand Slam event! You cannot run away from its prestige and when one wins, people tend to shut up about your negatives. I agree with you on the women side. Sharapova is dangerous when she has set her mind to it.
Posted 10:58 23rd June 2008
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