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Eric Bailly v Jamie Vardy: Who will win the key battle when Manchester United host Leicester?

Eric Bailly and Jamie Vardy

Eric Bailly faces Jamie Vardy at Old Trafford on Saturday. We check the stats to see whether the Man Utd man or Leicester striker will come out on top...

After a promising start to his career at the heart of Manchester United's defence, Bailly's last two Premier League outings will have left the £30m Ivorian under no illusions as to the attacking quality he will be facing on a regular basis this season.

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Jamie Vardy, the spearhead of the last season's champions' attack, will undoubtedly pose as big a threat as any Bailly has faced so far in his fleeting Premier League career. Both players are in just their third season playing top flight football, although Vardy is seven years Bailly's senior.

The proverbial footballing microscope will be cast over Leicester's number nine to see if he can come close to repeating his achievements of last season. Having scored five goals in 34 Premier League appearances in 2014/15 (his debut top flight season), his 24 goals last time out was bettered only by Tottenham's Harry Kane.

Jamie Vardy in 2015/16 Premier League

Stat Vardy total Leicester rank
Goals 24 1st
Assists 6 3rd
Chances created 48 3rd
Duels won 194 3rd
Penalties won 7 1st

The prolific nature of Vardy's meteoric rise to prominence since the start of last season is all the more commendable when you consider Leicester's tactical approach - they had the third lowest average possession last season (42.43 per cent), and in their two Premier League games this season against potential title challengers, Arsenal and Liverpool, they have had 39.5 per cent and 37.9 per cent possession respectively.

Leicester City's Jamie Vardy scores the first goal of the game
Image: Jamie Vardy scored his first Premier League goal of the season against Swansea

Vardy made the most of his opportunities last season, and only Man City prodigy Kelechi Iheanacho has a better conversion rate in the Premier League of all the players who have reached double figures over the past 14 months.

Premier League conversion rate since August 2015 (+10 goals)

Player Club Goals Conversion rate
Kelechi Iheanacho Man City 10 28.57%
Jamie Vardy Leicester 26 20.63%
Diego Costa Chelsea 17 20.24%
Sergio Aguero Man City 27 20.15%
Georginio Wijnaldum Newcastle & Liverpool 11 goals 18.03%

The England striker's pace getting in behind defences has been the catalyst of Leicester's counter-attacking success under Claudio Ranieri; and it comes as no surprise that only once under the Italian has Vardy found the back of a Premier League net from outside of the area, as well as winning more than twice as many penalties as any other Premier League player since the start of Ranieri's tenure.

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Premier League goals from inside box since August 2015

Player Club Total
Harry Kane Spurs 25
Jamie Vardy Leicester 25
Sergio Aguero Man City 22
Romelu Lukaku Everton 21
Riyad Mahrez Leicester 18

Vardy once again showcased his talents for drawing fouls in the opposition box in the Champions League at Club Brugge, and it is something Bailly will have to contend with on Saturday lunchtime.

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The former Villarreal man earned the man of the match award in both the Community Shield and his Premier League debut at Bournemouth, though he has found the last two games a more challenging proposition with his involvement for both goals conceded in the Manchester derby, as well as Watford's third last weekend drawing some criticism.

Eric Bailly enjoyed another composed performance in Man Utd's defence
Image: Eric Bailly shows off his ability in the air against Bournemouth

The decline in performance could be deemed a collective effort, rather than down to the individual.

Manchester United's drop off

Stat First 3 PL games Last 2 PL games
Goals conceded 1 5
Shots faced per game 10 14
Shots faced on target per game 2 5.5
Passing accuracy 86.49% 79.57%
Average possession 52.91% 48.53%

Bailly only turned 22 towards the end of the last season, in what was his inaugural campaign as a bonafide regular following his move to the Yellow Submarine during the 2015 January transfer window as a replacement for Arsenal-bound Gabriel.

Bailly was a mainstay when fit, as Villarreal claimed their first top-four finish in five years, conceding just 35 goals in the process, a club record.

Having played every minute in the opening seven games in all competitions (the only United outfield player to do so), Bailly clearly has the faith of Jose Mourinho to fulfil his hefty summer transfer fee.

But the Jamie Vardy story still has some legs in it, and he will feel confident of adding to his three goals in four career appearances against a United side in transition.

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