Tipster Dave Tindall looks to rack up more Premier League profits in his weekly betting column.
By Dave Tindall
Last Updated: 02/11/12 11:12pm
(Last week's headline tip - Juan Mata to score v Man Utd at 11/4 - landed the money as the Spaniard netted a superb free-kick in the first half)
If you believe in fate, you'll be backing Manchester United striker Robin van Persie to net against his former club Arsenal on Saturday lunchtime. And if you believe in cold, hard numbers you'll be doing exactly the same. The Dutchman has netted nine times in the 13 games he's played for the Red Devils so it's no real surprise that Sky Bet have him at odds-on (10/11) to score against his the Gunners. Wayne Rooney has a phenomenal scoring record against Arsenal (he's netted 10 Premier League goals against them) so expect him to be a headline maker too in the Old Trafford clash. Sky Bet go 7/2 that both van Persie and Rooney score - something they did in United's last home Premier League game - and that's a bet worth taking. The other bet I like is the 21/10 about Sir Alex Ferguson's men winning and both teams scoring. That's happened in eight of United's 11 wins this season so all the evidence suggests they're good at scoring goals but struggle to keep clean sheets.
Spanish star Michu has scored in four of his five home games for Swansea since making his move from Rayo Vallecano so looks a good bet at 3/1 to add to that impressive record against Chelsea on Saturday afternoon. The Blues have made a great start to the season but have hardly been watertight at the back. Indeed, the stats show that they've not kept a clean sheet in their last six domestic games so Michu can cash in. Swansea came within a whisker of beating Chelsea in this fixture last season and will be on a high after their 3-1 away win at Liverpool in the Capital One Cup on Wednesday night.
Kevin Nolan's eye for goal remains as sharp as ever this season and he's scored in four of West Ham's five Premier League home games. Those goals have helped the Hammers to 10 points out of 15 at Upton Park so they'll be no pushovers for defending champions Manchester City in Saturday's evening kick-off. West Ham are 4/1 to take victory, which is tempting, but it's Nolan who strikes me as the best bet. The 7/2 to score anytime is decent but, given that Man City have conceded the opener in all four of their away Premier League games this season, back Nolan at 10/1 to fire in the game's first goal.
Olympic gymnast Louis Smith is now the clear 5/4 favourite to win Strictly Come Dancing. Denise van Outen is 3/1 second best, ahead of 4/1 Kimberley Walsh and then there's a gap back to 12/1 Lisa Riley and 14/1 Victoria Pendleton. The betting suggests X Factor is now a three-horse race between 11/10 Ella Henderson, 5/2 Jahmene Douglas and 3/1 James Arthur. It's then way back to 20/1 to find fourth favourites Union J. Kye Sones is the 3/1 favourite to get the boot this weekend while Chris Maloney, Rylan and District 3 are all quoted at 4/1 to be next eliminated. I'm backing District 3 for the axe.