Play it Cool in Cup
By Ian Ogg
Last Updated: 02/09/14 4:59pm
Ian Ogg analyses the last 10 renewals of Saturday's Betfred TV Old Borough Cup at Haydock and picks out the key statistics.
Age has proved relatively irrelavant in this contest with winners between three and eight.
The Classic generation have won almost half of the renewals so their representatives clearly demand close attention although that must be qualified by the fact that three of those winners were trained by Mark Johnston with the other provided by Sir Michael Stoute.
The two years preceding this sample also went the way of three-year-olds to further strengthen their claims but they have claimed only one of the last five runnings.
Of the eight three-year-olds that line-up, only four have an official rating in excess of 90 but one of those is the Johnston-trained Swivel who also happened to win his most recent outing.
The classy eight-year-old Bauer sunk a number of the key statistics in 2011 when leaving behind a modest reappearance but prior to that, in-form, fancied runners had held the upper-hand and that has continued.
Sir Graham Wade may have been well beaten in the Melrose on his preceding start but he had won two of his last four and last year Platinum became the fourth winner to have won the preceding start.
Havana Cooler is clearly a big player for Bauer's handler, Luca Cumani, and he does tick a good number of the boxes as does easy Galway winner Artful Artist and fancied horses do have an excellent record with only one winner - Bauer again - returned at longer than 11/1.
At a bigger price, Our Gabrial takes the eye for Richard Fahey despite finishing down the field in the Melrose when never able to get involved from off the pace but he does have alternative entries for the weekend.
Farquhar is also in the three-year-old handicap on the same card and nor has he won over 12 furlongs but he was staying on strongly over that trip here last time and was impressive when winning at the course in May
At this stage of proceedings, siding with either of the market leaders seems a perfectly reasonable strategy with preference for Havana Cooler whose stamina and ability to act on the track are assured although he certainly hasn't been missed by the layers.
- Winners have been aged three (4), four (2), five (2), six and eight.
- Winners have been rated between 75 and 101 with the last nine between 90 and 101.
- Winners have carried between 8-2 and 9-9 with seven between 8-9 and 9-3.
- Four winners have been drawn in single figures, six in double.
- Six winners have raced in midfield or in rear, three of the exceptions were trained by Mark Johnston.
- Eight winners had run no more than 14 times in their career.
- Eight winners finished in the first four on their preceding start with four successful.
- Eight winners had won during the current season.
- All of the winners had won over at least 1m 4f.
- Mark Johnston has trained four winners.
- Favourites or joint-favourites have won four renewals with winners priced between 7/2 and 16/1