Blogs & Opinion


Froch v Groves II: Jim Watt tips champion to edge points victory

Jim Watt - Jim Watt Posted 30th May 2014 view comments

Despite all the talk in the build-up, I haven't changed my mind: I still fancy Carl Froch to win - although I have some doubts!

That is what makes this such a terrific fight and when you are out for a walk, or just sitting back at home relaxing you start imagining in your mind what is going to happen in Wembley Stadium on Saturday.

You can make an extremely strong case for George Groves, who is younger, fresher, naturally bigger and probably a harder puncher than the four-time world champion.

He has all the physical advantages going into this so you think he is going to win. But then you can easily start to think that Groves cannot do anything he didn't do the last time - and Carl was still there, hard as nails, experienced and able to turn the fight in his favour.

Then your mind sways towards Carl Froch again and it really is so hard to pick this one, it could easily go either way which helps make this such a massive event for British sport, never mind British boxing.

But when it can go either way I always end up at a bottom line and here is mine for this one: George Groves can put up a great performance here, lose and still go on and have a fantastic career and forge a huge reputation. And Carl Froch can't.

Froch's career is on the line here. This fight is one he fears losing and I think he will do anything it takes to win on Saturday. When it reaches the late stages - if it does of course - it comes down to toughness, experience and a sheer will to win and that is going to give Carl the edge. He has done it before and I think he will be able to grind out a points win.

Fast start

Carl is naturally a slow starter and in every single Super Six fight he finished strongly and he did that because he conserved energy in the early rounds. But if you remember the win over Lucien Bute when his career was on the line again, before the first bell had sounded he was halfway across the ring. He is not going to start this one slowly either.

He knows he can't give himself another mountain to climb so he will not make a slow start. But will that suit him because he's a slow starter and will it suit Groves more because Froch may make mistakes doing something he doesn't like doing?

Carl cannot set a constant pace though so he has to get that jab working again. Groves took it away last time and although he isn't a smooth performer, with lightning-fast reflexes Froch depends on his jab to build things up around him. He had no building blocks last time and althogh he might not win the battle of the jab because the challenger's is very quick, he just has to get it into play - as a weapon not a range finder.

I just have a feeling Froch is going to start grinding down Groves eventually so this could even be a late stoppage but probably deep down, I would stick with a ponits win.

Of course if there is a first round knockout before a jab isn't even landed or if it's a sixth-round stoppage - and I mean to either fighter - none of us will be surprised, which reminds us all of just what a wonderful fight this is going to be.

And I am always prepared to be proved wrong but never so much as this particular fight because I could make such a strong argument for George Groves winning - and ruining Carl Froch's legacy.

Book Froch v Groves II: Unfinished Business now, online at skysports.com/frochgroves2, via your remote or via your telephone on 08442 410888.

Post to your View!

Be the first to post a comment on this story

back to top

Other Boxing Experts:

Latest Posts in Boxing:

Johnny Nelson

In awe of Manny

Johnny Nelson spent the day with Manny Pacquiao and found out a different side to the legendary fighter....

Latest News RSS feeds

Nelson: In awe of Manny

Johnny Nelson spent the day with Manny Pacquiao and was left convinced he is up there with the very best.

Manny: Floyd fight almost certain

Manny Pacquiao is 80 per cent certain Floyd Mayweather will agree to fight him on May 2 - but warns it is now or never.

Gavin signs up with Matchroom

British welterweight champion Frankie Gavin is targeting Kell Brook's world title after joining Eddie Hearn's Matchroom stable.

New Sky mentors join Taylor

Sky Sports Living for Sport Ambassador Katie Taylor will be joined by a host of new athlete mentors in Ireland.

Court sends Taylor to hospital

IBF middleweight champion Jermain Taylor sent to hospital for mental evaluation.

Features

Ringside Toe 2 Toe: We hear from Tyson Fury, David Price, Scott Quigg and Nigel Benn...

Ringside Toe 2 Toe: We hear from Tyson Fury, David Price, Scott Quigg and Nigel Benn...

Welcome to the Ringside Toe 2 Toe podcast, an online offering from skysports.com bringing you the latest news and views from the world of boxing.

Bernard Hopkins turns 50 this week – here are his defining moments in the ring

Bernard Hopkins turns 50 this week – here are his defining moments in the ring

Among the elite of in-ring greats, Bernard Hopkins stands in a realm of his own on account of his longevity.

Boxing: Jack Bateson explains how he stays in peak condition ahead of a fight

Boxing: Jack Bateson explains how he stays in peak condition ahead of a fight

As many across Britain struggle to keep up their New Year’s resolutions to get in shape, GB boxer Jack Bateson revealed how he keeps the weight off in the run up to a fight.