The qualification process for the Grand Final is a long and tortuous one - an endurance test for the body and mind. It takes 189 Super League games and another eight Play Off matches to get to the Big Event. The two teams that finished in pole positions in mid-September are now on the starting grid, waiting for the green light to go on Saturday night.
Leeds survived intact after the puncture, engine problems and pit lane troubles of March and April when they lost 4 of 6 matches, one of them against new promoted Salford.
An unexpected crash in the Challenge Cup Semi-Final has upset the smooth running of the St Helens club and taken them some time to recover, but Play Off wins against Huddersfield and Wigan has them revved up and ready to go on a fast track at Old Trafford.
Paul Clough: unsung hero for Saints
For the record, it's 2-1 to the Saints this year but the Rhinos have the most recent victory stored in their memory bank. All 3 games have been close and it's highly unlikely that the Grand Final will end up a one-sided affair.
A detailed analysis of the 240 minutes of competitive action between these two great clubs this year suggests a Grand Final that will be decided in the last few minutes. The aggregate score in 2009 is 58-54 to St Helens and this game will test both teams more than in the last two Grand Finals.
In my opinion, James Graham is slightly ahead of James Peacock in terms of the damage that he could do to the opposition. Both are incredible human beings and do almost three times the average for a player in their position.
Phil Clarke
Quotes of the week
Leeds v St Helens
5.15pm, Sat Sky Sports 1 & HD1
Do you have the necessary skill when under pressure and fatigued? Can you demonstrate this at speed? For 4800 seconds?
Leeds
A forensic investigation into the Rhinos tactics shows that they like to play the game with more width than St Helens. They use their skills to get the ball out wide then unleash the power of their best players. Almost 40% of their tries are scored by the two wingers and full back. Ryan Hall is the top try scorer in Super League and is part of a powerful left side attack that the Rhinos love to use.
Leeds have scored nine tries in games against St Helens this year, seven of those have been on the left side and all of them have featured Keith Senior. Add to this the imposing presence of Ali Lauititi on that side, and you can understand if some St Helens players don't sleep that well this week.
Big Ali is a Polynesian magician who tends to do his tricks inside where Senior is positioned. With hands the size of a JCB bucket and a grip that's stickier than some chewing gum on your shoe, he has the ability to offload the ball to fast moving support as he's falling to the ground. It's almost undefendable.
Of the 350 men who have played in Super League this year, not one has made more breaks than Ryan Hall or Keith Senior. The Saints tasked with defending against these may need divine assistance!
I hate to talk about referees, the game is about players and always should be, but the penalty count in this match may prove highly important. In games between these teams this year, almost 40% of the tries scored have started with a tap penalty. Now you see why the referee's decisions become important.
Leeds record in 2009 isn't great. Only four teams have conceded more penalties than them, and they're playing against a team that are rarely penalised. St Helens should be congratulated, not just for reaching the Grand Final, but for playing the game in a manner which makes it highly entertaining to watch.
Perhaps it's a legacy from Daniel Anderson, but they rarely attempt to interfere with their opponent after they've tackled him. Quiz question: Which is the only team in Super League not to receive a yellow card in 27 games this year? (Easy Answer: St Helens).
Next Quiz Question: Who are the best team at supporting breaks and turning them into tries? (Yes I know they are easy questions, but this is the big one for St Helens to answer on Saturday night. Webb, Maguire, Hall and Burrow have a private competition taking place to see which one of them can be there in support when a team-mate creates an opportunity for points. Mick Potter's men need to show intelligence in their cover defence to save tries in this game.
St Helens
Without oversimplifying things, the Saints use a different principle to win games. They concentrate their efforts on dominating the middle third of the field. They fire a rapid succession of plays down the central channel and wait for a half-break, followed by a quick play-the-ball before exploding into life. It's no surprise that Roby and Cunningham have made the most metres as they scoot from the ruck area. Their unsung hero, Paul Clough, makes selfless charges and provides a quick play-the-ball from which many of St Helens tries originate.
The main strike weapon is Leon Pryce, closely followed by perhaps the quite achiever for the Red and Whites, Tony Puletua. Some people's perception of Paul Wellens is that he lacks pace, but I'm not sure that this is true. He certainly knows where to be and when to be there and is just as likely as his counterpart to cross the line and score. Alongside Maurie Fa'asavalu, Wellens is one of the most difficult and awkward players to tackle and looks primed for a big game this week.
In my opinion, James Graham is slightly ahead of James Peacock in terms of the damage that he could do to the opposition. Both are incredible human beings and do almost three times the average for a player in their position. Graham edges it slightly because of his ball playing ability. His ability to pass before the defensive line has led to numerous tries this year, none better than the one scored by Lee Gilmour at Leeds on 4th September. The combination of the pass and the pace was too much for even Leeds to cope with.
Leeds are a very quick team, but in games between them this year, St Helens have been too fast for the Rhinos. They may not have the power and physical presence of those Yorkshire giants but this year's underdogs have an ability to think, react and move quicker than them.
Goal kicking
If these sides are as close as I say, it adds extra pressure to the men responsible for goal kicking. The Rhinos have a regular kicker with big game experience and the temperament of Roger Federer or Bjorn Borg when asked to deliver. Kevin Sinfield knows how it feels to have the outcome resting on his ability to convert the kick. He has a 78 per cent success rate this year and will have mentally rehearsed the 'big kick' scenario.
St Helens have a huge dilemma. Assuming that both Kyle Eastmond and Sean Long play, Mick Potter needs to decide which one to go with. Long has the same experiences as Sinfield, but isn't as good as him. He's only managed to convert 63 per cent of his attempts. Eastmond, a nominee for Young Player of the Year, and only 20 years of age, is a better kicker with 70 per cent success to his name. He was given the job in last week's qualifying semi-final against Wigan but only managed one from three and has never played in a Grand Final before. Who would you go with?
Conclusion
At the highest level in sport, it's usually a magic moment which determines the outcome. Last year, it was a freakish kick by Lee Smith which he managed to turn into a 40/20. The Rhinos scored in the next set and the game went their way. With 34 of the most talented and skilful players in the competition on show it will take something superhuman to win this year's Grand Final...
Comments (11)
- Page 1 of 1
- 1
Shaun Connelly says...
as a wigan fan i hope these two kick lumps out of eachother. Come on Rhinos
Posted 11:11 8th October 2009
James Willerton says...
Leeds have a 60% chance in this game, they beat Saints last year going the hard route and I don't see why they shouldn't take the spoils this year when they've been the most consistent of the two over the regular season. Pretty even piece from Clarkey there; close games need quality kickers...
Posted 09:53 8th October 2009
Chris Hall says...
And Keith Senior had nothing at all to do with Carl Ablett's try against Saints at Headingley. Unless "featured" means he was the player that took a tackle and played the ball, and we then went on to score later in that set. By which standard most of our players have "featured" in every try. And it's BURROW not BURROWS!? There is NO "S" on the end of "Rob Burrow". Has anybody checked this article before clicking submit?
Posted 09:16 8th October 2009
Joe Mullen says...
Why do the saints fans always go on about the rain last year, I'm guessing they forget about the previous year when it was dry and we thumped them
Posted 08:55 8th October 2009
Chris Haney says...
here we are again! Saints V Leeds Grand Final. but i feel this one is alot different than the other two for a number of reasons. 1. i feel Saints are going into this game as under-dogs (for a change) and thats not been the case for 5 years so that i feel will take some of the pressure off them because they are not expected to win unlike the other grand finals. 2. there has been alot punch ups in the passed fue games between the two sides, and that should bring out more aggression on the pitch so stamina will come into play in the last 15mins and Saints i feel can go the distance more than Leeds can because when leeds get tried they become a dirty side and give penalties away E.g high tackles, flopping, swinging arms etc. (just look at the games this year to see who the penalitys went to after each fight or bust up it i wasnt leeds because st helens arent a dirty side). The ref in this game is Steve Ganson, he has had a really good season as he lets the game flow i just hope he can ref the game fairly for both sides. i have to address the issue of James Graham not shaking hands at the end of the last Saints V Leeds game, i thought he was right that he didnt, because he felt like him and his team mates where unfairly treated during the game so i say well done James Graham (plus it now adds some extra spice into the game... not that it needed it) . now the weather if it stays dry (hopefully) im going for a Saints win but if it rains i think the game is a coin flip. See you all at old trafford!! come on you saints!!!
Posted 05:00 8th October 2009
Tim Nuttall says...
I am expecting another close game, they usually are. But we want to be the first team to win it 3 times on the spin so we wont be lacking motivation. I have on doubts that our big players will come to the fore. I dont think we will fall for this 'favourites' tag that saints are trying to put on us, seems most pundits have saints down to win it anyway. Im just proud of the boys for getting this far, by Wilkins own admission, we are already the best team this season.
Posted 20:53 7th October 2009
Don Bateman says...
I Always thought one of the many reason rugby league brought the salary cap into the game was so we would have parady i.e like NFL but we have the same final 3 years on the trot?
Posted 17:00 7th October 2009
Matt Bowyer says...
Which is the only team in Super League not to receive a yellow card in 27 games this year? (Easy Answer: St Helens). Nope! Leon got 10mins at Headingley in the final game of the season.
Posted 16:30 7th October 2009
Peter Gray says...
I cannot wait for the Final. I think Leeds will have the power and pace to simply out play Saints! it will be tight but i put leeds winners 20-16.
Posted 16:25 7th October 2009
Gordon Taylor says...
Come on you saints .Lets hope and prey we dont get the rain we did last year and the boys turn up as im sure this time more than any other time we will gwt it right and bring the cup back home then bring on melbourne
Posted 16:12 7th October 2009
Graham Lawson says...
R.E. saints not having a yellow card in super league this year did you forget about leon pryce and his proffesional foul on danny maguire at leeds
Posted 16:04 7th October 2009
- Page 1 of 1
- 1


















Recent Comments:
Matt Summersgill on Opportunity knocks
"I compleatly agree with everything you have just said Phill. As a Rhinos fan i am very proud of what out team has achived & with the british players it has acheived it with, Altough I'm... " View all comments
Paul Thwaites on Code of conduct
"Professional sportspeople are in the public eye and therefore have an obligation to set a good example to the public. Footballers get paid extraordinarily high wages, rugby players ... " View all comments
Micheal Finney on Testing times
"It's a really sad story that is becoming all too familiar. Most of the former players seem to think that the clubs should do more but Gareth is an adult and he alone is responsible for ... " View all comments
Paul Melling on Testing times
"Well,he isn¿t the first and he sure won¿t be the last to get caught using banned drugs. Every professional player knows the consequences of testing positive for cocaine..yet still Mr ... " View all comments
J M on Britain needs talent
"Hi Phil, At junior level, ages 5-11 perhaps, the RFL could promote a "swimming badge"-style scheme to encourage a culture of skills development. A rugby league curriculum almost. ... " View all comments
Phil The dude on Crowd controlled?
"I think that your spot on Phil with your thoughts on the crowd swaying referees. Anyone who thinks any different is probably a referee or someone who has never watched our great game. ... " View all comments