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Will to win

Alex shares her tips for this weekend's racing

Alex Hammond Posted 25th October 2012 view comments

After a sensational weekend that saw us bid farewell to Frankel we move onto the stars of the future at Doncaster for the final Group 1 of the domestic flat racing calendar, the Racing Post Trophy.

The mile contest has attracted seven runners with Aidan O'Brien's Kingsbarns the favourite with Sky Bet at 15/8. O'Brien initially had six of the 15 entries and the team that won this race 12 months ago will just have the one shot at emulating Camelot's victory with the horse who was supplemented for the contest.

Buick: Alex's tip to win be Champion Jockey

Buick: Alex's tip to win be Champion Jockey

The colt won't fear conditions at Doncaster as he won his only race, a mile maiden at Navan on soft ground. He is the least experienced in the field but is already 12/1 for next year's Derby. There is a good chance of the Group 1 heading back to Ireland with two other decent challengers. Jim Bolger runs Autumn Stakes winner Trading Leather (5/2 for Saturday's race and 14/1 for the Derby) and Andy Oliver has First Cornerstone (8/1). Trading Leather doesn't want too much ease in the ground but I like him and he's considered a Derby horse for next year.

I think it could be William Buick's year and at 5/1 with Sky Bet he could be the value in the title race now Hughesie has got his name on the prestigious roll of honour.

Alex HAmmond
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Richard Hannon might have something to say about that though and the fact they paid £17,500 to add Van Der Neer to the field gives you some confidence, he is a 5/1 shot. You had to be impressed with the way he won a conditions stakes at Leicester, but it's hard to tell how good that form is. His maiden win is working out well and he handled sticky ground at Leicester well.

Steeler is 4/1 for Mark Johnston and is bidding to add a top level success to his CV to add to his three wins which include the Group 2 Royal Lodge last time out. You have tenacity on your side if you back this lad as he's a real trier and keeps improving.

I'm going to take a chance that Trading Leather handles conditions, but considering only seven go to post it looks a very competitive race and you could make a serious case for five of the runners.

Horris Hill at Newbury

There is also a decent card at Newbury on Saturday and the Horris Hill is one of two Group 3 races. This one is for juveniles over seven furlongs and ground is pretty testing at the Berkshire track too.

Eight horses have been declared for the race with Maxentius one of two in the race for Peter Chapple-Hyam. William Buick is booked to ride the colt who has faced some tough assignments of late. He has seen the back of Olympic Glory a few times and this represents a drop in class for the horse who was well beaten behind Richard Hannon's smart colt in the Group 1 Grand Criterium on Arc day last time out.

Hannon takes him on again but this time with Glean (Ryan Moore) and Alhebayeb (Paul Hanagan). The latter ran badly in Deauville last time out, but will suit the step up to seven furlongs. He has a penalty to carry though which makes life tough.

Odooj blew his chance at the start at York last time out and can be given a chance here, but he looks to be owner Sheikh Hamdan's second string as Hanagan rides the Hannon horse.

Frankie Dettori would love to win this on Saeed bin Suroor's Tawhid given his recent announcement. The colt won at Nottingham on soft ground last time out (in the same race that Frankel's younger brother made his debut). However, he didn't love conditions there and will have to cope with them once again.

Marco Botti has decided to run Hasopop at Newbury rather than Doncaster and he is expected to appreciate the seven furlongs here. I think this is a tough race to call, but I'm going with Glean to give Richard Hannon another win in this race at his local track.

St Simon Stakes is the other Group 3 at Newbury. This race is over a mile and a half and there is a decent field declared.

I like the look of Noble Mission who we have been tracking on the blog this season. It's been well documented that he is Frankel's younger brother and I hope he can run well here. He is fitted once again with a hood, which was left off in the Great Voltigeur last time out. That was the only time he has finished out of the first two and with the hood back on he can get back on track.

Old Roan Chase at Aintree

It's great to see some decent jump racing too and the Old Roan Chase at Aintree is the feature at the Liverpool track.

Declarations hadn't been made at the time of writing, but there are some interesting entries including Pacha du Polder for Paul Nicholls. The trainer has had a few winners over the past few days and has started the season as he means to go on. This horse is taking on better and more experienced horses in this 2m 4f Grade 2 and was last seen winning a Grade 2 Novice at Ayr in April. He's an exciting prospect and I'm looking forward to seeing him in action.

Farewell Frankie

Of course Frankel wasn't the only story last weekend. We learned that Frankie Dettori is to split with the powerful Godolphin team at the end of the year and ride as a freelance next season. Could 2013 be the year that Frankie attempts to regain his jockeys' championship title?

He last took it in 2004 and has stated his intention to give it a go. He is 10/1 to win it, but I just can't see him charging round the country chasing another title at this stage. I think it could be William Buick's year and at 5/1 with Sky Bet he could be the value in the title race now Hughesie has got his name on the prestigious roll of honour. Richard Hughes is even money favourite to retain the title in 2013.

Selections:

Trading Leather in the Racing Post Trophy @ 5/2 with Sky Bet

Glean in the Horris Hill at Newbury

Noble Mission in the St Simon Stakes at Newbury

Pacha du Polder in the Old Roan Chase at Aintree

William Buick in the 2013 flat jockeys championship @ 5/1 with Sky Bet

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