Blogs & Opinion


Championship clues

Ed looks at the best bets on another big weekend of sport

Ed Chamberlin - Ed Chamberlin Posted 31st January 2013 view comments

Sky Bet's Premier League title odds: 1/5 Man Utd, 4/1 Man City, 33/1 Chelsea, 250/1 bar

It's already been quite a week in the Barclays Premier League with a thrilling midweek programme and the end of the January Transfer window.

Thursday is a hectic day on Sky Sports News but also must be a frantic one on the Sky Bet trading floor as they somehow manage to price up all the potential deals. All sorts could happen before 11pm.

Sprinter Sacre: needs a rival to capture the imagination, says Ed

Sprinter Sacre: needs a rival to capture the imagination, says Ed

It's been another excellent week for Manchester United who shortened up to 1/5 from 4/11 to win the title after they edged past Southampton to go seven points clear at the top, while Manchester City were frustrated at QPR on Tuesday night. This week summed up the top of the table in a nutshell - United have been by far the best team this season at digging out results when not playing well.

The hype and build up for Sprinter Sacre v Flemenstar would be terrific and surely capture sports fans' imaginations plus lift the winner to superstar status.

Ed Chamberlin
Quotes of the week

City (5/6 to win with Sky Bet) could go in to Super Sunday's game at home to Liverpool (3/1) 10 points behind again if United (4/7) win at Fulham (4/7) on Saturday evening.

Before the match at the Etihad we have West Brom (5/2) against Tottenham (21/10) - we'll be live from 1pm on Sky Sports HD1.

Last weekend's sport is going to take some beating. FA Cup shocks galore, yet more brilliance from Messi and Ronaldo, and sensational racing at Cheltenham.

This weekend promises to be even better with the Premier League back in action, more Cheltenham Festival clues in Britain and Ireland, plus the start of the Super League and Six Nations and Superbowl XLVII.

I grew up watching the Joe Montana/Jerry Rice era and had a couple of memorable trips to Candlestick Park so it's great to see the 49ers back in the Super Bowl. They are Sky Bet's favourites to win the Vince Lombardi Trophy and have to give up 3.5pts on the handicap (San Francisco 10/11, Baltimore 10/11).

Sky Bet have a feast of markets on the game and you can bet on anything and everything from the total number of sacks in the game to which team will get the first turnover. I'd be lying if I said I knew a whole lot about the sport but I'm looking forward to watching the Super Bowl when I get back from the Etihad on Sunday night and I'll be cheering on the 49ers and backing Colin Kaepernick to win the MVP award.

Sky Bet's prices on the Six Nations: England 19/10, France 2/1, Ireland 7/2, Wales 9/2, Scotland 33/1, Italy 200/1.

I'm not sure about the quality of the competition after the numerous drubbings the home nations took to the Southern Hemisphere sides in the autumn. England play France at Twickenham so have a great opportunity to win it and will be out to prove that the win against the All Blacks was not a fluke.

Horse racing

With no Premier League football last weekend I was able to enjoy a superb day's racing at Cheltenham. It was as good as any day at a Festival with a mercurial performance from Sprinter Sacre and a number of thrilling finishes up the famous hill. It was also nearly a very profitable one with only The New One letting down doubles, trebles and yankies. Wretched AP McCoy.

However, as AP said after lifting At Fishers Cross across the line with an inspired piece of riding, not all the best horses were winning on that desperate ground on Saturday. I think that certainly applied to The New One, who showed a brilliant turn of foot to go clear as they turned for home.

I said last week that I fancied him for the Neptune before Saturday and that expensive defeat has done nothing to dampen my enthusiasm. I have added him to my ante-post portfolio at 5/1 with Sky Bet - alongside Un Atout at 7/1 in the Supreme Novices' Hurdle.

Sprinter Sacre was imperious again and the one horse to glide through the horrible ground. On a day when races were slogs and battles, he floated to victory. Pure class. He rightly had racing fans purring and is down to 2/7 with Sky Bet to win the Champion Chase.

My sadness is that that race promises to be a procession - Cue Card, Finian's Rainbow, Sizing Europe (who would be a standout bet at 8/1 for the Ryanair if you knew that was his target) could all go elsewhere - and a turn-off for some punters so Nicky Henderson star won't get the media attention he deserves.

What tells the story at moment is that very few people in my department at Sky have even heard of Sprinter Sacre. I'm convinced that, in order to capture the sporting public's imagination, he needs a rival and the one horse who can save the race is Flemenstar.

He runs in the Irish Hennessy over three miles next weekend, which will decide his Festival target. A big part of me hopes he doesn't stay as I'd love to see Flemenstar run back over two miles as I think he's a machine.

The hype and build up for Sprinter Sacre v Flemenstar would be terrific and surely capture sports fans' imaginations plus lift the winner to superstar status.

The hardest Championship puzzle to solve at the moment is the Champion Hurdle, which is shaping up like a fiercely competitive renewal. Another piece was fitted on Sunday with Hurricane Fly's facile win at Leopardstown, which I don't think told us anything new but saw Sky Bet shorten him to 5/2 favourite.

He's clearly back in good form but likely to face a totally different test to beating similar horses in small fields in Ireland. He's a fantastic horse and entitled to be favourite but this looks a much deeper Champion Hurdle to the one Hurricane Fly won two seasons ago and I couldn't back him at that price.

Darlan has been a favourite of mine since AP gave him as his horse for us to follow last season. The Champion jockey thinks the form of his Christmas Hurdle win isn't up to much but I also sense he thinks this horse is a bit special.

Darlan is set to run on at Sandown on Saturday and will hopefully confirm his credentials. My worry with Darlan is whether Cheltenham really suits him. He's been high class on flat tracks but I don't think either of his runs at Cheltenham so far has seen him at his best.

That's a sentiment I thought also applied to Darlan's stablemate Grandouet (6/1). I used to think he was a flat track, bridle horse. The International at Cheltenham changed all that. I thought he would struggle to give weight to Zarkandar (6/1) after a long absence and on ground he didn't like so thought he ran a blinder in second and I was particularly impressed by what he found off the bridle up the hill. The sharper Old Course in March is going to play to his strength - speed.

We'll learn more this weekend but at the moment the Champion Hurdle looks a hard puzzle to solve and a race full of really good horses, who have little between them. I just think Darlan and Grandouet could be the two with an x-factor.

I make my debut as a racehorse owner on Sunday as part of the 'Goodfellow' syndicate that owns Wayne Manor, who is set to run in the Triumph Hurdle trial at Musselburgh. He's trained by Lucinda Russell and Peter Scudamore and has been working nicely at home but this is a tough task on his hurdling bow.

I shall be eagerly awaiting news in the studio at Manchester City!

back to top

Other Football Experts:

Latest Posts in Football:

Paul Merson

Merson's predictions

Villa to beat Spurs and a draw in the Manchester derby... read what Paul Merson predicts this week....

Latest News RSS feeds

Premier League preview

The Manchester derby takes centre stage on Sunday, with form sides Chelsea, Southampton and West Ham playing Saturday.

Van Gaal: Rooney will play

Louis van Gaal has confirmed Wayne Rooney will play and will captain Manchester United in Sunday's derby against City.

Jerome double sees off Bolton

Two goals from Cameron Jerome guided Norwich to a 2-1 win over Bolton and move the Canaries joint-top of the Championship.

Hughes unhappy with FA

Stoke boss Mark Hughes feels the FA may have set a dangerous precedent by not charging Garry Monk over his 'cheat' slur.

Super 6: Tigers can halt Saints

Merse and Thommo backing a 1-1 draw at the KC Stadium

Features

What next for Spurs?

What next for Spurs?

"Lads, it's Tottenham."

Super 6 predictions: Pundits tip Tigers to halt Saints

Super 6 predictions: Pundits tip Tigers to halt Saints

Soccer Saturday pundits Phil Thompson and Paul Merson think Hull City could halt Southampton's Premier League charge on Saturday.

Gerrard and Ramsey figure on out-of-sorts list

Gerrard and Ramsey figure on out-of-sorts list

Sometimes the pressure of repeating an impressive season can prove hard to handle for players. It's not uncommon that the standards laid down one year are struggled to be met thereafter.