Blogs & Opinion


Murray v Federer: Barry Cowan says Brit will be too strong for Swiss

Barry Cowan - Barry Cowan Posted 21st January 2014 view comments

There was a time when I expected Roger Federer to win every match he played in - bar when he met Rafael Nadal on clay - but those days are gone.

Therefore, I place Andy Murray as the favourite to win his Australian Open quarter-final against the Swiss, not just because of how he has played in Melbourne but how much better he has done at Grand Slams in recent times than Roger.

Barry is backing Murray to dispatch Federer in four sets Down Under

Barry is backing Murray to dispatch Federer in four sets Down Under

There are still question marks against Murray, mainly because he has had a great draw and barely been tested, and Federer will be confident as he is playing on quick courts that suit him and beat someone as good as Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in straight sets in the last 16.

However, I am leaning 60-40 towards Murray because I don't think Roger will be able to stick with Andy if the match gets physical, and if we get down to a fifth set I think the Brit will hold his nerve better.

Murray is a marvellous front runner so it is imperative Federer starts quickly.

Barry Cowan
Quotes of the week

That may sound strange considering Federer has won 17 Grand Slams and Andy only two, but not only does that show that Roger does not have the self-belief he had three or four years ago, it also indicates how far Murray has come both mentally and physically.

Difficult

Roger - who, at one stage, made 36 consecutive Grand Slam quarters - can still play magnificent tennis, though, especially if he serves well and his forehand clicks, but the longer the match goes the more Murray will come into his own, so I feel it is imperative Federer starts quickly.

Murray is a marvellous front runner, not because he plays aggressively when in front but because he is so strong and if his opponent loses the first set they then have to win three in three hours, which is extremely difficult.

I think Murray will edge Federer in four sets, but I would be surprised if Nadal breezed through Grigor Dimitrov, like he did Bernard Tomic, Thanasi Kokkinakis and Gael Monfils in previous rounds.

I think Dimitrov has a great chance of taking at least a set as, in my mind, he is a future top-10 player due to his talent, feel for the game and serve, as well as his improving physicality and mentality.

The Bulgarian has beaten Novak Djokovic before and pushed Murray so now believes he can mix it with the elite - but he is not yet ready to beat Nadal over the course of a three-hour-plus match.

If he is going to win, he is going to have to do it in three sets and I don't see that happening.

Pressure

Serena Williams' exit has really opened up the women's draw, meanwhile, with Eugenie Bouchard and Li Na making the semi-finals on Tuesday, but I am backing Victoria Azarenka (pictured) to win her third straight Australian Open.

Azarenka looked fatigued at the end of 2013 but, after making some amendments to her team, has looked really strong in Australia and is more than capable of handling the pressure of being tournament favourite now Serena has been dismissed.

She is a level above everyone else left standing in Melbourne and will reach new heights if she lifts the trophy again on Saturday following wins over Maria Sharapova in 2012 and Li 12 months ago.

You are a great player if you win one Slam but when you defend it once, let alone twice, then you are talking about a very special player - and, in Azarenka's case, one with plenty more to give in the years ahead.

Saturday should be her day.

back to top

Other Tennis Experts:

Latest Posts in Tennis:

Mark Petchey

Fillip for Ferrer

Mark Petchey marvels at David Ferrer's win over Rafael Nadal but downplays it's long-term significance....

Barry Cowan

Heavy burden

Great Britain's best Davis Cup since 1986 fails to mask their reliance on Andy Murray, says Barry Cowan....

Latest News RSS feeds

Cibulkova fights into final

Dominika Cibulkova defeated Karolina Pliskova 6-7 (3-7) 6-3 6-3 to reach the final of the BMW Malaysian Open.

Federer sets up Wawrinka final

Roger Federer clinched a 7-5 6-2 victory over Novak Djokovic to set up an all-Swiss final at the Monte Carlo Masters.

Czechs pile pressure on Italy

Italy are on the brink of elimination from the Fed Cup after going 2-0 down in their semi-final with the Czech Republic.

Injury concern for Djokovic

World No 2 Novak Djokovic could miss the French Open after revealing he is suffering from a nagging wrist injury.

Federer to meet Djokovic

Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic will play each other in the Monte Carlo semis after both survived scares on Friday.

Features

WTS podcast

WTS podcast

Sarah-Jane Mee, Greg Rusedski, Nick Dougherty, Tim Stimpson and Anna Mayes debate leadership.

Fabio Fognini: Italian has greater amount of confidence and can flourish on clay

Fabio Fognini: Italian has greater amount of confidence and can flourish on clay

Fabio Fognini's bravado is now backed up with real belief and he can enjoy a stellar clay-court season, says Leif Shiras.

Rafa to reign again

Rafa to reign again

Tim Clement expects Rafael Nadal to regain the Monte-Carlo Masters title in the coming week.