This seller looks ripe for PEUT ETRA SIVOLA to return to winning ways but it won't be straight forward for David Pipes charge with Critical Stage and Snow Patrol are also in with a decent shout. The first thing to like about the pick is that he seems to be well set in the weights compared to if this was a handicap against his main rival. Heavy ground form is also confirmed with this one after some decent displays in recent weeks. The form from the penultimate start is also promising so things look good for a return to the winner's enclosure. Snow Patrol has struggled to score since landing a maiden event two years ago. That at least came on conditions more representatives of a ploughed field and he's rated as an animal who should challenge at this level which he drops down to for the first time. Crucial Stage is the highest rated in the race by some distance but has failed to take advantage of similar events in the last few starts. The form lines from those have been as good as to be expected and consistency will have him close again. Wildbach was on top form last autumn claiming a few events like this but the going has to be of concern so Peut Etra Sivola looks most likely.
Wildbach (IRE) 25-1 (10-0) Held up, effort after 3 out, one pace from next, 6th of 9, 15l behind Little Shilling (10-8) at Fontwell 3m 3f hcp hdl 0-145 (2) sft in Dec.
Critical Stage (IRE) 5-1 (11-2) Held up towards rear, headway approaching 3 out, ridden approaching 2 out, stayed on from last, 3rd of 13, 4l behind Sun Quest (10-12) at Taunton 2m 3f sll hdl (5) sft in Dec.
Bollywood (IRE) 12-1 (10-9) Chased leaders, went 3rd 5th, ridden and hit 3 out, weakened next, 3rd of 10, 20l behind Heir To Be (11-7) at Folkestone 2m 6f sll hcp hdl 0-90 (5) gs in Jan.
Celtic Heather (IRE) 9-1 (11-6) Mid-division, ridden approaching 2 out, no impression, 7th of 16, 26l behind Lawgiver (11-1) at Catterick 2m 3f amt hcp hdl 0-100 (4) gs in Dec.
Could Be Alright (IRE) 12-1 (11-4) Mid-division, never near to challenge, 6th of 15, 23l behind Low Delta (11-12) at Towcester 2m 3f amt hcp hdl (5) sft in Jan.
Count The Cost (IRE) 14-1 (10-13) Mid-division on outside, not fluent 5th, lost place 13th, soon tailed off and pulled up 5 out in race won by Shulmin (10-12) at Sedgefield 3m 3f cnd hcp chs (5) sft in Nov, 11 ran.
Dunbell Boy (IRE) 25-1 (10-6) Soon in rear, tailed off, 8th of 14, 44l behind Nearly A Breeze (9-13) at Exeter 2m 3f cnd hcp hdl 0-95 (5) gs in Oct.
Head To Kerry (IRE) 20-1 (10-0) In touch, headway to chase leaders approaching 3 out, no impression from next, 4th of 16, 11l behind I'm The Decider (11-3) at Ludlow 3m amt hcp hdl 0-115 (4) sft in Jan.
Mistified (IRE) 25-1 (11-5) Prominent, mistake and unseated rider 5 out in race won by Low Delta (11-12) at Towcester 2m 3f amt hcp hdl (5) sft in Jan, 15 ran.
Parish House (IRE) 50-1 (10-12) In rear, reminders 6th, tailed off when blundered 4 out and pulled up 3 out in race won by Tullamore Dew (10-12) at Plumpton 2m 5f nh nov hdl (4) gf in Oct, 7 ran.
Path To Glory 150-1 (10-5) Always towards rear, 8th of 11, well behind Teddy's Reflection (10-12) at Fontwell 2m 2f nov hdl (4) sft in Dec.
Peut Etre Sivola (FR) 5-1 (11-0) Made most until ridden and headed flat, no extra, 2nd of 9, 4 1/2l behind Anglicisme (11-2) at Uttoxeter 2m 4f sll hdl (5) hvy in Jan.
Relative Hero (IRE) 33-1 (11-0) T.o & pulled up in race won by Shareef (11-0) at Cottenham 3m ptp gf in Dec, 11 ran.
Snow Patrol 66-1 (11-0) Prominent, led 4th, headed 7th, ridden approaching 11th, weakening when fell 3 out in race won by Radetsky March (11-0) at Fontwell 2m 6f beg chs (4) sft in Dec, 7 ran.
Stance 20-1 (10-12) Mid-division, headway 3 out, soon ridden, weakened next, 8th of 13, 10l behind Sun Quest (10-12) at Taunton 2m 3f sll hdl (5) sft in Dec.