Sagredo isn't easy to win with nowadays and connections also seem to be struggling to find his best trip. He looks vulnerable here under top weight. Bangor second Bay Central is probably in the handicapper's grip at present while it's almost a year since Maoi Chinn Tire last ran over fences and he finished tailed off on that occasion. CANDELITA is still a novice and was no match for The Cockney Mackem at Worcester last week. But she finished clear of a previous winner and has more scope than any of these. Jo Hughes' mare gets the nod with Muwalla possibly a little flattered by his latest course and distance second and another who struggles to get his head in front.
Sagredo (USA) 15-2 (10-6) In rear, ridden 4 out, some headway under pressure 2 out, never on terms, 5th of 7, 12l behind My Brother Sylvest (10-8) at Ffos Las 2m hcp chs (2) gd in Aug.
Maoi Chinn Tire (IRE) 14-1 (10-9) Held up in rear, not fluent 7th or 8th, blundered 9th, well beaten 3 out, mistake 2 out, tailed off, 11th of 12, well behind Church Field (10-4) at Cartmel 2m 6f hcp hdl 0-140 (3) gf in Jul.
Bay Central (IRE) 11-1 (11-4) Led, headed 2 out, not pace of winner, 2nd of 5, 7l behind Lucky Landing (11-12) at Bangor 2m 1f hcp chs 0-120 (4) gd in Aug.
Candelita 10-1 (10-7) Held up, mistake 2nd, headway 8th, chased winner 4 out, not fluent 2 out, beaten last, one pace, 2nd of 7, 9l behind The Cockney Mackem (11-0) at Worcester 2m nov chs (4) gd in Aug.
Muwalla 8-1 (11-5) In rear, headway before 5 out, led 2 out, ridden and headed before last, kept on towards finish, 2nd of 5, nk behind Bennys Quest (11-11) at Sedgefield 2m hcp chs 0-110 (4) gf in Aug.