Saturday 25 June 2016 11:47, UK
Alex Payne is tipping wins for England and Ireland but another heavy defeat for Wales against world champions New Zealand...
England's approach to this third Test has been fantastic - I have loved seeing Eddie Jones ramp up the pressure on his men, the psychology of calling this a World Cup final and the hunger to make it a clean sweep.
Perhaps surprisingly, England have now won seven of their last nine games against the Wallabies and are on a nine-game winning run since the loss to Australia in September.
The question this week is whether England have one last push in them after two brutal tests, or whether the knowledge of having the series won will see them drop off a touch.
The noises out of the camp imply they are very focused on a big finale and are searching for a complete performance after the bright attack in the first and the ferocious defence in the second.
England will certainly miss their man-of-the-series James Haskell, but Teimana Harrison will bring a huge amount of energy and heart. For the Wallabies, Matt Toomua is the most interesting selection at 12, the onus on him will be to unlock England's defence more effectively than the power game of last week.
For the third Saturday in a row we are in for a thunderous Test match, but I think the force is with England once again. They will hope for more return from their set piece this weekend, will want to show more in attack and I think they will finish the season with a bang. An England clean sweep was 10/1 before series started - well done if you got on - but I think that's where we'll end up. England to win by 6-10 returns at 5/1 with Sky Bet.
England's entertainer: Ben Youngs has had a tidy series at nine, but hasn't really had the chance to threaten as he can. He has only picked up one try in his last 13 Tests, but scored a wonder try against the Wallabies in Sydney six years ago. 28/1 on Youngs as first try scorer is very juicy indeed.
Wallaby wonder: With a good understanding from their partnership at the Brumbies, the selection of Matt Toomua has the potential to bring a lot more out of his fellow centre Tevita Kuridrani. Three tries in his last five Tests is a good strike rate, and Kuridrani is 11/4 to make that four in six.
So Wales attempt to end 63 years of hurt and 28 failed attempts to beat the All Blacks on Saturday morning.
Steve Hansen has admitted that he has gambled this week in making five changes to his starting XV and bringing in three debutants, but recent history shows that the All Blacks keep getting better throughout the series - Ireland and England were blown away in the third Test of the last two tours.
Wales have closed the margin of defeat from 18 to 14 in the first two Tests, but this is the final action of an unbelievably long season and I fear an all too familiar tale that they will be competitive until the 50-minute mark and then run out of petrol. All Blacks to win at a canter and to beat the 22 point start at 10/11 with Sky Bet.
Back an All Black: Julian Savea is back and an anytime try is the most obvious play of the day. But keep an eye on George Moala at 13. Playing on the wing, he scored a try on his debut last year and brings power, a step and great footwork. He could prove the be the latest handful in a black jersey and is 6/5 to cross anytime.
Wales wager: Liam Williams has been the player of the tour, has earned huge respect in New Zealand and is 5/2 with Sky Bet to round off a fine international campaign with another try.
Ireland were six minutes away from claiming an extraordinary series win in Johannesburg, but rather like snakes and ladders the Bok onslaught at the end means that Rory Best and his men have to climb the mountain all over again this week.
The assumption would be that Ireland are shot, the physical and mental battering that they took in conceding 29 points in the second half has them done for coming into the decider. But the word from the Ireland camp this week is that they remain focused, hungry and very confident.
The chance for history has re-energised the squad, and the five changes in personnel means that the tank should be full enough.
The Boks have brought in form players - Warren Whitely has made a big impact from the bench, Ruan Combrink looked mighty effective out on the wing - both will be full of running from the off. But the truth is that under a new regime, they have only played well for 20 minutes in the two games so far.
With the game at sea level this week and Ireland unlikely to collapse late on, I think Joe Schmidt's men are a smarter, more established team and can take the win and the series at 5/2 with Sky Bet.
Ireland's inspiration: Keep an eye on CJ Stander who will want a massive game after his red card in the first Test, but I'm tipping Tiernan O'Halloran for an anytime try at 5/2. The electric full back had a fantastic season and I hope he brings his form for Connacht to the international stage.
Back a big Bok: Pieter-Steph du Toit has had a huge impact in this series, scoring in the first two Tests. He is 11/4 to make that three in three.
