Sky Bet's rugby union expert tells us how the bookies see this weekend's Heineken Cup action.
By Jordan Fiddes - Twitter: @SkyJordanFiddes
Last Updated: 25/04/14 8:26pm
The bookmakers were able to predict two of the four semi-finalists but the sides from British shores have certainly upset the odds somewhat.
It's the French sides, however, who have dominated the market from start to finish.
They remain the shortest prices to win the competition this year - and rightly so as they avenged two other giants of the Cup in Leicester and Ulster en route.
Just like last year, Toulon are slightly behind their French rivals at 13/8 to win the whole thing - but there is not much in this given their one-point victory over Verm Cotter's men in 2013.
Favourites Clermont will take on a Saracens side soaring high in the domestic competition and brimming with confidence after recent victories over fellow title contenders Northampton and Ulster in this competition.
Former England winger David Strettle has been in fine form for the English side, crossing for his tenth Premiership try in the recent victory over the Saints.
No English side has won a Heineken Cup semi-final at Twickenham Stadium so it's easy to see why the bookies give them a two-point head start in the handicap market.
Even that seems a little short, however, given that Sarries have been knocked out by French opposition in the last two years - Toulon last year and Clermont themselves in 2012.
Paying the penalty
It's expected to be a little more one-sided in the other semi-final as holders Toulon continue their defence at 1/4 against Munster.
The Irish outfit will be looking to prevent Toulon becoming only the third team in history to retain their Heineken Cup title.
They are currently 11/4 to do so which seems appealing given this will be their 11th Heineken Cup semi-final - and lock Paul O'Connell's eighth.
He'll lead the team out this weekend with club captain Paul O'Mahony ruled out and the two-time winner is a popular bet to claim the man of the match award amongst punters.
To stack the odds even more in Toulon's favour, this is the first time a Heineken Cup fixture has been played in Marseille, yet it's an arena the French have competed in many times in the Top 14 domestic league.
Therefore Jonny Wilkinson and his men have a -8 handicap to overcome but with the former England number 10 kicking the penalties, this seems a realistic task.