Momentum - it is so important in a successful Six Nations campaign, and after a great round 3 in the tipping stakes we're hoping our roll continues too.
Scotland will aim to hang in there until the sixty minute mark and then squeeze their way home, much as they did against the Irish. But for me Wales are beginning to get the bit between their teeth again, the mojo is returning and so too is the experience of Alun-Wyn Jones and Sam Warburton. They will be only too aware of the mistakes that Ireland made, and will have those potholes sign-posted. Leigh Halfpenny won't spurn as many chances at goal as Ireland, and I'm tipping Wales to get home by a handful, 6-10 at 4/1 - though don't tell Dean!
In terms of try scorers - Halfpenny has picked up four in his last four games against Scotland and I think is good value at 100/30 anytime. Visser, Maitland and Hogg are the real danger men for Scotland at
3/1, 4/1 and 5/1 respectively.
Ireland v France
When talking of momentum in the Six Nations, the flip side is how quickly things can tailspin when you lose and two sides with heavy shoulders clash in Dublin on Saturday.
Searching through the stats ahead of the game, I was astonished to read that Ireland have only won one of the last thirteen against the French. The last four have finished within an average of 3.5 points, tight games in which Ireland just fail to find a way to take the tape. Given the last two rounds, I just can't see where the men in green are going to get clarity from this week.
Things do seem muddled on the field and in selection and the unrest is growing. Irish supporters are beginning to talk of wanting a change at the top, and head coach Declan Kidney may well be feeling the same way. There are positives - Cian Healey is back having overturned his ban, Luke Marshall looked accomplished on his debut and they did play well in patches against the Scots despite failing to take their chances, but these have the feel of clutching at straws. The confidence and nerves seems frayed.
France are in no great shape either, but there were signs at Twickenham they may just be clambering out of the trough they've fallen into. But instead of looking to build on those foundations, Philippe St.Andre has altered things again, including inexplicably bringing back Freddy Michelak at fly half.
However, I think France have the advantage mentally and in the power stakes, where Louis Picamoles is bound to be prominent again. He is 7/1 to cross the whitewash at some point, while
Vincent Clerc (3/1) has been running in French tries for years. Wesley Fofana is the super star though, and is 12/1 to score the first try.
Both are vulnerable but Ireland seem more so. France to come through.
So I'm going for England to beat the handicap, France and Wales this weekend which returns at
7/2, and if you fancy something else to shout about in all three games how about a trio of anytime try scorers -Ashton, Fofana and Halfpenny all to dot down is available at 20/1.
Good luck.
