Premier League predictions and best bets: Everton to edge Sunderland on Monday Night Football

Our football betting expert Jones Knows provides his insight across the Premier League and is backing Everton to win at Sunderland on MNF.

Manchester City vs Bournemouth, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

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Bournemouth are a punters pal when it comes to over goal lines away from home as 14 of their last 16 matches on the road have sailed over the 2.5 line. And since the start of last season their away games against last season's top five have averaged 3.9 goals per 90.

However, with the Premier League only trending at 2.68 goals per 90 this season, which is almost 0.6 of a goal fewer than two seasons ago, I'm a little wary of backing over lines.

The smarter play when your read on a game is for goals is to slide across into the goalscorer markets instead and chase a bigger price. Antoine Semenyo, who has scored eight goals in last 10 Premier League appearances, is the play at 7/2 with Sky Bet.

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Looking at the data, Bournemouth's aim is to get him into dangerous positions in transition and City will leave spaces to be hit via that tactic. In what should be a goal heavy game, simply backing him to score at 7/2 is the smartest way to get a goals and pro Bournemouth play on side.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2

Sunderland vs Everton, Monday 8pm, live on Sky Sports

• Sky Sports to show 215 live PL games from this season
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Everyone's talking about Jack Grealish, yet, he's not even Everton's best player.

If you actually use your eyes rather than just concentrate on the Grealish love-in, it's Iliman Ndiaye who's running the show in the final third. He's the one drifting between the lines, wriggling into pockets of space defenders hate and, crucially for us punters, is getting into shooting positions with real intent. Something that Grealish isn't doing.

Ndiaye has already scored three goals this season - two more than Grealish. He's had seven shots on target - three more than Grealish and his expected goals return is higher by 1.5 expected goals than Grealish.

He's also the penalty taker for Everton, meaning the anytime goalscorer price of 3/1 with Sky Bet being dangled is too juicy to pass up. You're effectively investing at 3/1 in Everton's most advanced and most involved attacking player who also could have a free shot from 12 yards if the ref points to the spot.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Jones Knows' best bets:

• 1pt on Micky van de Ven to score (14/1 with Sky Bet)
• 1pt double on Nottingham Forest double chance & Newcastle to be winning at half-time (5/2 with Sky Bet)

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