Mike Lorenzo-Vera can challenge for maiden win at the Italian Open

By David John

Image: Mike Lorenzo-Vera produced a third top-20 finish of the season as last week's KLM Open.

Mike Lorenzo-Vera is one of three selections David John has tipped to challenge at this week's Italian Open.

The Open d'Italia has moved to a new venue at the Golf Club Milano and there will be a premium very much on accuracy judged by the excellent little video course tour on the website as the fairways wind their way through the trees.

There is some decent depth to the top end of the market as well with local hero Francesco Molinari, in-form Danny Willett and Martin Kaymer dominating the betting as they all look to get on a roll with a handful of events left before the big-money Final Series gets under way.

Image: Martin Kaymer's back in Europe after his early exit from the FedExCup

Kaymer has something to prove in my book at the moment having failed to make the FedEx Cup play-offs and subsequently left himself short of the requisite events on the PGA Tour to retain his membership for next year.

That is a rather odd oversight from a player renowned for his fantastic attention to detail so perhaps he feels playing a few tournaments he would not have had on his schedule is the best way forward opposed to sitting at home and stewing on the issue.

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He was on the fringe of things last week at the KLM Open before it rapidly went pear-shaped on the way to a final round 74 so it will be interesting to see how the German responds - he has not become rubbish overnight but I am happy to let him tee it up at 14/1 and take a watching brief.

So on to this week's picks then and the charismatic Eddie Pepperell is well worth a follow on Twitter and generally comes out with a pearl of wisdom or two - he has spoken to fellow pro and host club member Marco Crespi in the build-up to the event and kindly posted the outcome on social media.

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Image: Marco Crespi features on home soil in Milan

Crespi described this new venue as "tight" and that should be suitable for the improving Finn Mikko Korhonnen, who seems to relish these well-established, traditional layouts with a premium on accuracy.

The top performer at last year's Qualifying School, it is a mission accomplished as far as 2016's card is concerned as he now sits inside the top 100 on the Race To Dubai rankings and can perhaps turn his attentions to trying to sneak a top-60 berth.

That move towards safety came courtesy of a season's-best T7 last week in Holland where he shot a blistering 12-under par over the weekend (65-63) and only dropped one shot in those two rounds.

He looks well worth a punt at three-figure odds to keep up the momentum as he has the game to score around this layout.

If I wrack my brain hard enough, I remember tipping Thorbjorn Olesen at a big price in this event a few years ago and thought I had cracked the game until he was short-headed by Robert Rock.

This season's big price hope is Ireland's Simon Thornton, who will probably admit himself he is not quite in Olesen's league but equally not without a chance of forcing himself into contention at 300/1. 

Image: Simon Thornton produced his best performance of the season in the Netherlands.

Attached to Royal County Down, the highlight of his pro career so far was victory two season's ago at St Omer but there has not been a great deal to write home about since.

He has not played a huge amount this year on either the European or Challenge Tours which means he currently languishes in 215th place on the Race To Dubai.

Just because he needs a big finish or two does not automatically mean it will happen but his form has been encouraging lately in a minor event in Northern Ireland and then last week at the KLM Open, where he shot all four rounds in the 60s.

If he can build on that promise then he has played well in Italy before and also admitted that a tight set-up which requires control from the tee is right up his street.

Finally, France's Mike Lorenzo-Vera has caught my eye on a number of occasions this season and contending at an event like this seems well within his compass.

Image: Lorenzo-Vera is without a professional title since 2007

His T12 in Holland was his third really solid effort from his last six starts and despite a bogey on the 72nd hole, he walked off the green with a smile on his face and seems to be playing the game at the moment in the right frame of mind.

If Korhonnen has a chance of making the all-important top 60 by the end of the season, then Lorenzo-Vera has an even better shot (currently 82nd) and that sort of achievement looks a very reasonable target.  

He is a past winner in Italy on the Challenge Tour back in 2007 and the confidence he has in his ability currently makes his profile an appealing one on this occasion.

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