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Stewards' Cup 10-year-trends

By Ian Ogg

Saturday 30 July 2011 10:30, UK

Image: Victoire De Lyphar: Can land the Stewards' Cup

Ian Ogg analyses the last 10 renewals of the Blue Square Stewards' Cup and picks out the key trends for the Glorious Goodwood sprint.

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Essential big-race information

  • Four and five year olds have won nine of the last 10 renewals.
  • Nine of the last 10 winners have carried between 8-9 and 9-7.
  • Winners have been rated between 83 & 102 with eight between 95 and 102.
  • Eight of the last 10 winners have been drawn between 10 and 30, the exceptions were drawn 2 & 4.
  • Seven of the last 10 winners have won during the current season.
  • Eight of the last 10 winners have raced between 3 & 5 times in the current season.
  • All of the last 10 winners have won over six furlongs.
  • Nine of the last 10 winners had won a handicap.
  • Eight of the last 10 winners had won in a field of 14 runners or more.
  • Four of the last 10 winners had track form.
  • Two of the last 10 winners ran in the Bunbury Cup.
  • Four of the last 10 winners finished first or second on their previous start.
  • Two of the last 10 favourites have won with a further five placed.

    Summary

    Four and five year olds had dominated this race until Evens And Odds victory last year to provide David Nicholls with his second success in the race in six seasons and it's best to concentrate on that age group again. Mac's Power, Kanaf and Nasri (who ran in the Bunbury Cup) all qualify on a number of the trends but the two that make most appeal are Colonel Mak and VICTOIRE DE LYPHAR. Colonel Mak - who is one from one for Jamie Spencer - is just 1lb higher than when winning the Ayr Silver Cup last season and only 1lb outside the ratings band that has provided the majority of recent winners. However, David Nicholls' record in the race swings the vote the way of the latter who has had fewer runs this season than any recent winner but finished second in the consolation race last year. Whilst the majority of recent winners have won during the current season, neither of the last two have and the form of his reappearance has worked out well while his latest run can be ignored due to his failure to handle soft ground.

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