This is a very open handicap where a case can be made for half the field but given that CAPE HAWK looks light in the handicap these days and shaped well over course and distance last time we'll side with Richard Hannon's charge at the expense of near miss merchant Effigy and Den's Gift. Nearly back to winning ways at Windsor three starts back the pick has run two solid races at this track since. A further pound has been removed from his load and the softer conditions should help a bold bid. Effigy doesn't have the best berth but has been hammering on the door in recent starts including here last time. He should go well but is up in the weights again. Den's Gift is competitive off this sort of rating and showed that with a good run in defeat last time and he will enjoy the cut in the ground. Northern Spy has held his form well in four runs since easily scoring at Epsom and is only a pound worse off for a second place finish last time but he might just be in need of a reprieve before getting on top again so this time we opt to support Cape Hawk.
The Fifth Member (IRE) 33-1 (9-2) Led, headed over 4f out, ridden over 2f out, soon weakened, 19th of 20, 34l behind Kavachi (9-2) at York 1m 1f hcp 105 (2) gd in Jun.
Wellington Square 11-2 (9-6) Slowly into stride, in rear, driven and kept on final furlong, never near leaders, 11th of 14, 9l behind Prime Exhibit (9-4) at Sandown 7f hcp 0-90 (3) gd in Aug.
Den's Gift (IRE) 11-2 (9-5) Tracked leader to 3f out, remained prominent, switched right and hard ridden over 1f out, weakened towards finish, 5th of 11, 1 1/4l behind Mujood (9-5) at Goodwood 7f hcp 0-85 (4) gf in Sep.
Salient 33-1 (8-8) Chased leaders, pushed along halfway, behind final 3f, tailed off, last of 10, 20l behind Elna Bright (8-6) at Ascot 1m hcp 0-100 (2) gf in Sep.
Weald Park (USA) 25-1 (8-10) Tracked winner, ridden over 2f out, weakened over 1f out, last of 8, 13l behind Whispering Gallery (8-12) at Newmarket 1m 2f hcp 0-100 (2) gd in Aug.
Cape Hawk (IRE) 9-1 (9-9) Chased leaders, ridden over 1f out, no extra towards finish, 5th of 9, 1 1/2l behind Kaolak (10-0) at Goodwood 1m hcp 0-85 (4) gf in Sep.
Avertis 9-2fav (9-5) Tracked leader, led over 3f out, headed over 1f out, kept on same pace, 3rd of 11, 1 1/2l behind Mcconnell (9-1) at Southwell 1m fll hcp (4) fbs in Sep.
Effigy 9-4fav (9-5) Held up on inside, headway from 2f out, chased leading pair over 1f out, went 2nd final 100 yards, strong run and closed on winner near finish, just held, 2nd of 9, hd behind Sarah Park (9-8) at Goodwood 1m hcp 0-80 (4) gf in Sep.
Tudor Key (IRE) 12-1 (8-11) Tracked leader, led over 2f out, ridden and headed when edged left over 1f out, hung left and kept on under pressure final furlong, 3rd of 7, 2 1/4l behind Roar Of Applause (8-8) at Epsom Downs 1m 3yo hcp 0-90 (3) gf.
Happy Anniversary (IRE) 14-1 (8-10) Tracked leaders, lost place over 3f out, weakened inside final furlong, 5th of 12, 8l behind Shamwari Lodge (9-7) at York 1m 3yo fll hcp 0-100 (2) gf in Aug.
Opera Prince 7-1 (9-11) Held up towards rear, eased when well beaten final 2f, 14th of 15, well behind Credit Swap (9-2) at Ascot 1m hcp 0-85 (4) gd in Jul.
Kinsya 13-2 (8-12) Held up, ridden over 1f out, never dangerous, 9th of 11, 8l behind Faithful Ruler (9-4) at Ayr 1m hcp 0-85 (4) gd in Sep.
Indy Driver 6-1 (9-0) Behind until ridden and kept on final furlong, never nearer, 6th of 12, 5l behind Lindoro (9-3) at Epsom Downs 7f hcp 0-85 (4) gf.
Mishrif (USA) 28-1 (9-2) Chased leaders, driven and weakened over 1f out, 9th of 13, 9l behind Mac's Power (8-12) at Kempton 1m hcp 0-85 (4) pol in Sep.
Key Signature 12-1 (9-2) Always in rear, last of 8, 9l behind Sir Isaac (9-1) at Sandown 7f hcp 0-90 (3) gd in Aug.
Northern Spy (USA) 10-1 (8-9) Chased leaders, pushed along over 2f out, kept on under pressure inside final furlong, went 2nd towards finish, 2nd of 13, 1l behind Hurricane Spirit (9-3) at Kempton 1m hcp 0-85 (4) pol in Sep.
Pearl of Manacor (IRE) 12-1 (9-3) Always behind, tailed off, 7th of 8, 28l behind Arizona John (9-4) at Yarmouth 1m hcp 0-85 (4) gf in Sep.