Blogs & Opinion


Strike it hot

Ed tips up Man United-Liverpool and Arsenal-Man City

Blogs - Ed Chamberlin Posted 10th January 2013 view comments

The first Super Sunday of 2013 should be an absolute belter.

We start with the classic Premier League fixture that is Manchester United v Liverpool, and that is followed by Arsenal against Manchester City. New year, old rivalries.

There has been no greater rivalry in the Premier League than Manchester United and Liverpool and for 2013's first edition Sky Bet have United as hot favourites at 4/5, Liverpool a 10/3 chance and the draw at 13/5.

Van Persie: has netted 16 of Man United's 54 Premier Leage goals

Van Persie: has netted 16 of Man United's 54 Premier Leage goals

It's hard to oppose United in their current relentless form; they have won 40 points from a possible 45 and have now scored 54 Premier League goals, the most United have netted at this stage in the top flight since 1907/08.

Robin van Persie has scored 16 of those and on a day packed with superstars, our first game sees the Premier League's top two strikers this term going head-to-head.

LIVE ON SKY SPORTS
QPR v Tottenham
12pm, Sat, Sky Sports 2 HD
Man United v Liverpool
1pm, Sun, Sky Sports 1 HD
Also showing in Sky 3D
Arsenal v Man City
3.30pm, Sun, Sky Sports 1 HD
Also showing in Sky 3D
Watch on the move with Sky Go
How to remote record

Free £10 bet
New to Sky Bet? We're offering all new customers a free £10 bet. Claim now

Van Persie and Luis Suarez have 31 goals between them and both are sure to attract plenty of money. Van Persie heads the first goalscorer market at 10/3 (he's only 16/1 to score a hat-trick), with Suarez a 6/1 chance.

In September, RVP scored from the penalty spot as United came from behind to win 2-1 at Anfield; Jonjo Shelvey's sending off proving pivotal, what with it coming after 39 minutes with the score at 0-0.

There have now been six red cards in the last 10 Premier League meetings and a total of 14 reds in this fixture - only the Merseyside derby (20) has seen more.

United have had the better of this fixture of late, winning the last four meetings at Old Trafford in all competitions and going further back, eight of the last nine - and on Sunday they have the chance to go ten points clear at the top, which would be a bigger gap than at any stage last season.

Sky Bet's Premier League Title odds: 1/3 Man Utd, 3/1 Man City, 14/1 Chelsea, 66/1 bar

It was on Super Sunday at the Emirates in April that United went eight points clear after they won the early kick off, City lost to Arsenal and we all thought the title race was over.

Tight

I'll be back at the Emirates on Sunday as Arsenal (6/4) meet Man City (17/10) again. It's no surprise that Sky Bet have struggled to separate the two sides this week as when Arsenal meet City these days it's always an attractive game to watch but usually a very tight encounter and short on goals.

The last five meetings in all competitions have produced just five goals and the last three League games at the Emirates have produced just one, including two goalless draws. It's easy to see the draw being popular at 12/5 and also less than 2.5 goals at 11/10.

Question: who was the last Man City player to score at the Emirates in the League? Answer: USA international DaMarcus Beasley in April 2007.

Incredibly, Arsenal have not conceded in the last five Premier League home games against City and it's now been eight hours and 19 minutes of football at the Emirates since Beasley's strike.

Arsenal's Achilles heel of late has been defending against sides with top class wingers; the Gunners' formation under Arsene Wenger (4-3-3) has been set in stone for years, but has often come unstuck against top class sides with orthodox wide men.

Arsenal's system gives their own wide players plenty of freedom to attack but often leaves their full-backs exposed.

Manchester United have exploited this ruthlessly but City prefer to attack through the middle with David Silva and Samir Nasri buzzing in the gaps behind the strikers rather than taking on the full-backs.

Test

Arsenal have a decent record against City in the Premier League, taking more points off them than any other side (69). Key to the home side's hopes on Sunday will be Theo Walcott who has done well since Arsene Wenger let him loose through the middle.

Walcott is 7/4 to score again on Sunday and 6/1 to score the game's first goal. It won't be easy though. He's looked impressive in open games against Reading and Newcastle but City will be a totally different ball game. Will he be able to hold the ball up and how will he fare against Vincent Kompany? This will be his first big test.

Other things to look out for this weekend: Everton (4/7 with Sky Bet) have won all three Premier League meetings with Swansea without conceding and never lost to them in any competition - 16 games, 12 wins.

Fulham (10/11) have won the last four meetings at Craven Cottage with Wigan, while Norwich could be a good bet to beat Newcastle at 23/20.

The Canaries have lost their two home games by a single goal to Chelsea and Man City, having won five in a row before that, but Newcastle have lost their last five Premier League away games, conceding 11 in last two, and lost on their last three visits to Carrow Road.

Finally, Chelsea (10/11) have never lost to Stoke in the Premier League (nine games, seven wins). Chelsea are unbeaten in the last 13 League meetings against Stoke, who last beat Chelsea in the League 18 years ago.

Click here for more Sky Bet odds.(17/10)

back to top

Other Blogs:

Latest Posts in :

Alex Ferguson

Start your engines!

Alex Ferguson predicts who will triumph in NASCAR's showpiece race, the Daytona 500....

comments

Andy Walker

Walker: Celtic 'shocking'

Ronny Deila’s hopes of winning over the club’s fans took a big blow in Poland, says Andy Walker....

Guillem Balague

Balague: Barca training tough

Guillem Balague says Barcelona’s stars will suffer gruelling double sessions during their week at Burton....

Ed Chamberlin

Van the man?

Ed Chamberlin explains why Tejay van Garderen is capable of plucking the Tour de France's Yellow Jersey....

comments

Ray Wilkins

Wilkins: Rooney for captain

Ray Wilkins says Wayne Rooney is the "standout candidate" for the England captaincy....

Barrie vs Terry

Barrie v Terry

Barrie McDermott and Terry O'Connor go head-to-head with their Super League predictions......

Barrie vs Terry

Barrie v Terry

Barrie McDermott and Terry O'Connor go head-to-head with their Super League predictions......

Nasser Hussain

Player plaudits

Nasser Hussain and Sir Ian Botham reflect on England's fine individual performances in the third Test....

Alex Hammond

Royal week of racing

Alex Hammond shares tips for the Galway Festival and Glorious Goodwood - where Captain Cat is among her selections....

Alex Hammond

Eagle Top-ing it

Alex Hammond tips her winners for the weekend's racing, including the Queen Elizabeth Stakes....

View from America

Draft developments

Simon Veness reviews the aftermath and fallout from an exhausting, rollercoaster 2014 NFL draft....

comments

Neal Foulds

Selby steel

New world champion Mark Selby's the master of match play, says Neal Foulds - but what's next for Ronnie?...

comments

Neal Foulds

Trump tip

Ronnie O'Sullivan is favourite for the Worlds - but Judd Trump could spring a shock, says Neal Foulds....

comments

Neal Foulds

Night at the Circus

Neal Foulds is looking forward to another fun, raucous Snooker Shoot-Out - but can't pick a winner....

comments

Kelvin Tatum

Back on track

Lakeside can make it two wins over Belle Vue Aces in four days, says Kelvin Tatum, but it'll be close!...

comments

Kelvin Tatum

Hit the road

Swindon are struggling this season but will fancy their chances at Birmingham, says Kelvin Tatum....

comments

Kelvin Tatum

Racing away

Belle Vue are unbeaten at home but Kelvin Tatum asks if they can transfer that form at Swindon....

comments

Richard Moore

The final curtain

Richard Moore reflects on Sunday's Closing Ceremony to an unforgettable Olympic Games......

comments

Richard Moore

A lasting golden glow

Richard Moore suggests all the British Olympians should visit schools and talk about their experiences....

comments

Richard Moore

Favourite Froome

Richard Moore reveals his predictions for the 100th Tour de France, which starts on Saturday....

comments

Wayne McCullough

Wonderful Davis

Wayne McCullough watched Antonio Rogerio Nogueria take on Phil Davis at UFC Fight Night 24. ...

0 comments

Wayne McCullough

Jones shines bright

Wayne McCullough was highly impressed as the talented Jon Jones made short work of Mauricio Rua....

2 comments

Wayne McCullough

A bloody marvel

Wayne McCullough salutes Diego Sanchez as he edges out Martin Kampmann in a UFC humdinger....

0 comments