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Nico Rosberg's title? F1 history suggests three is the magic number

History is on Rosberg's side as he aims for maiden world title; German has also surpassed Sir Stirling Moss' long-standing record

By Matthew Morlidge

Last Updated: 20/04/16 6:20am

Nico Rosberg may have never won a Formula 1 world championship, but the ease in which he has dominated the first three races of the season suggests his dreams could yet become reality in 2016.

In claiming victory at the Chinese GP, Rosberg became the seventh driver to win the opening trio of grands prix since the sport's inception.

And, as if the pressure of securing a maiden championship wasn't enough for the German, the previous six who had started a campaign so strongly went on to lift the title that season.

Brundle: Rosberg on a roll

Martin Brundle on why Rosberg is managing expectations

Rosberg is also now the bookies' favourite in 2016 after three assured drives, and seems to be maturing after two years of hurt at the hands of Mercedes team-mate Lewis Hamilton.

He has already opened up an early 36-point lead in the Drivers' Championship, and although a year younger than Hamilton at the age of 30, Rosberg's consistency since winning his first race back in in 2012 must also be lauded.

Three or more consecutive wins at the start of the season

Driver Season Consecutive GP wins
Alberto Ascari* 1953 Argentina-Belgium
Juan Manuel Fangio* 1954 Argentina-France
Juan Manuel Fangio* 1957 Argentina-France
Ayrton Senna 1991 US-Monaco
Nigel Mansell 1992 South Africa-San Marino
Michael Schumacher 1994 Brazil-Monaco
Damon Hill 1996 Australia-Argentina
Michael Schumacher 2000 Australia-San Marino
Michael Schumacher 2004 Australia-Spain
Nico Rosberg** 2016 Australia-China
* excludes Indy 500
**sequence ongoing

Sunday's win took his total grand prix victories to 17, eclipsing the great Sir Stirling Moss' record of the most wins without a championship.

2016 has of course played into Rosberg's hands so far, with Shanghai a prime example. Already safe in the knowledge that Hamilton would be starting from the back of the grid, Sebastian Vettel, Kimi Raikkonen and Daniel Ricciardo's hopes of challenging were then ended through contact and punctures within minutes.

Nico Rosberg comfortably wins sixth consecutive race; Sebastian Vettel and Daniil Kvyat completed the podium

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Nico Rosberg comfortably wins sixth consecutive race; Sebastian Vettel and Daniil Kvyat completed the podium
Nico Rosberg comfortably wins sixth consecutive race; Sebastian Vettel and Daniil Kvyat completed the podium

Rosberg comfortably brought the W07 home and joins esteemed company with his perfect start to the year.

Michael Schumacher began the 1994, 2000 and 2004 seasons in similar vein, all three of which ending in titles, while Ayrton Senna, Nigel Mansell and Damon Hill were victorious at the beginning and end of the year in 1991, 1992 and 1996 respectively.

Most GP wins by drivers that have not won a world championship

Driver Entries Wins
Nico Rosberg 188 17
Sir Stirling Moss 67 16
David Coulthard 247 13
Carlos Reutemann 146 12
Felipe Massa 234 11
Rubens Barichello 326 11

Alberto Ascari (1953) and Juan Manuel Fangio (1954, 1957) can also claim to have won the opening three grands prix and title in same year. However, in an ever-thorny issue where F1's record books are concerned, neither driver strictly won the opening three rounds of the World Championship as the Indianapolis 500 was an official race on the calendar between 1950-60. Neither Ascari nor Fangio competed at the famous Brickyard in those respective title-winning seasons.

Hosting cars and drivers that were wholly different, the 33 American drivers who competed the Indy 1953 didn't enter a single race for the rest of the F1 season, for example. 

Wolff: Nico not favourite

Toto Wolff has tipped Lewis Hamilton to close the gap

The statistics then, point to prolonged Rosberg dominance. However, when informed of the record on Sunday, Rosberg replied: "Yes, but they didn't have Lewis Hamilton as their team-mate.

"I don't see it that way at all. It is a handful of races. Yes, it is going well, but this is the longest season in F1 history with Hamilton as my team-mate, a triple world champion, who has been hard to beat in the past three years.

Lewis Hamilton finished seventh after starting from the back of the grid

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Lewis Hamilton finished seventh after starting from the back of the grid
Lewis Hamilton finished seventh after starting from the back of the grid

"It is going to be a great battle. I have a little bit of an advantage now which is good, better that way than the other way, but that is it really. I am just enjoying it and making the most of it race by race."

Also See:

  • Wolff: Nico not title favourite
  • Rosberg odds-on favourite

With 18 grands prix left in the season, race by race is probably the best way to go as Rosberg aims for glory.

Don't miss the F1 Report on Wednesday at 8:30pm on Sky Sports F1 for full analysis of an action-packed Chinese Grand Prix at the Shanghai International Circuit. Natalie Pinkham is joined in the studio by Marc Priestley and Alex Lynn.

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