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Australia, Scotland, and rain: How England can go out of the T20 World Cup in the group stages

We take a look at how Australia, Scotland, and the weather could combine to knock England out of the T20 World Cup; Watch England take on Oman in the T20 World Cup on Thursday June 13 at 8pm, live on Sky Sports

England's fate at the T20 World Cup is in the hands of Australia, Scotland, and the weather

A washout, a loss to your fiercest rivals, and now your fate in the T20 World Cup firmly in their hands - behold an England cricketing nightmare, from which they are desperate to wake up.

Sadly for England fans, even if their side do wake up, dust themselves down, and get going, they are resigned to the harsh reality it could be for nothing.

Add in the backdrop of a recent 50-over World Cup calamity, plus talk of improvement coming without any real action, and it is easy to see why Jos Buttler's side are under real pressure.

So, just how bleak is the outlook for England and how could rivals Australia and old foes Scotland pull off the mightiest of coups to keep the defending champions out of the Super 8s? Let's take a look...

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Nasser Hussain and Michael Atherton discuss what England's T20 World Cup hopes now look like following their defeat to Australia.

The bleakest scenario: Australia and Scotland know the equation

Australia chased Namibia's first innings total in just five overs and four balls to stay unbeaten and now head into their final match against Scotland in top spot on six points, there is a world in which both sides know the exact score required for them to both go through and leave England in the dust of Group B.

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Highlights from Barbados as England suffered a 36-run defeat to Australia to remain winless at the T20 World Cup.

This scenario also assumes England have beaten both Oman and Namibia and will be watching the final group game between Australia and Scotland on June 16 to decide their fate, sitting on five points alongside Scotland.

Scotland gave a real boost to this scenario's potential with their seven-wicket thrashing of Oman, meaning their net run-rate is significantly better than England's with just their game against the Aussies left to play - but we will come onto that later.

Also See:

Group B: Remaining T20 World Cup fixtures, all live on Sky Sports

  • England vs Oman - Thursday June 13 (8pm)
  • Namibia vs England - Saturday June 15 (6pm)
  • Australia vs Scotland - Sunday June 16 (1.30am)

Obviously, Australia and Scotland will play this game like any other and look to win, but it is fair to say that, if they manage to unite to bring about the demise of their rival, Australia and Scotland fans would be forever grateful.

So, just to be clear:

  • Australia beat Scotland: Australia go through in top spot and second place will be decided on net run-rate
  • Scotland beat Australia: After Australia hammered Namibia, they go through alongside Scotland
  • No result: Both take a point and England are out. More on the weather impact later...

Not pretty reading, is it?

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Highlights from Barbados where Scotland's George Munsey and Michael Jones impressed against England before their T20 World Cup clash was washed out

Time for big-hitters: Net-run rate boost to catch up to the Scots

Now, on to that net run-rate. The added element to the above scenario is that, in their final two group matches against Oman and Namibia, England are going to have to score and score big alongside picking up the victories.

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Mark Wood thought he had dispatched Scotland's George Munsey but a no-ball denied him England's first wicket of the day.

Scotland have a far superior net run-rate to England at the moment - Buttler's side currently have the worst net run-rate in Group B - and that could prove the decisive element if they draw level with Scotland on five points and Scotland also lose to Australia.

Net run-rate is just a quick equation: The opponent's run-rate is subtracted from the other team's run-rate. Run-rate is the average number of runs scored by a team in an innings.

Australia, England, Scotland Cricket T20 World Cup

So, in order to catch up to Scotland's net run-rate, the likes of Phil Salt, Buttler, Jonny Bairstow and Harry Brook are going to have to go boundary hunting to put themselves in the mix alongside the Scots.

Not to be cliche, but the white ball team are going to have to implement some of that gung ho attacking play that Ben Stokes' red ball side has become known for and then some.

They could also play like the white ball team of 2022 when they won the whole thing - easier said than done!

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Nasser Hussain and Michael Atherton reflect on England's T20 World Cup defeat to Australia, including how the decision to bowl Will Jacks in the powerplay backfired.

When it rains, it pours: No room for washouts

English cricket and rain are often in conflict, but for the remainder of this group stage they need to shelve their differences and keep the sun shining.

If either of England's matches against Oman and Namibia are washouts, their T20 World Cup campaign is over and they will be heading home early.

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Jos Buttler was disappointed that England's opening game of the T20 World Cup was abandoned, but felt they would have chased down Scotland's score.

On top of that, if Australia and Scotland is a washout, they both pick up a point and leave England watching on in third place and out of the Super 8s.

Basically, they need glorious sunshine in Antigua and St Lucia for the foreseeable future. Normally, this would be a given in the West Indies but it is rainy season.

It would be peak England for rain to knock them out of a World Cup, wouldn't it?

Watch England take on Oman on Thursday June 13 from 7.30pm, first ball 8pm, live on Sky Sports.

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