Over 45: 1 run. Bowler: Tanveer Sangha. Pakistan: 190/10 (rr 4.32)

A full-length leg spinner pitching down leg, Shadab Khan attempts a flick but plays and misses. The wicketkeeper is quick to react, and Shadab is stumped. Shadab Khan departs for 71 off 105. Australia win by 41 runs!

Over 44: 1 run. Bowler: Nathan Ellis. Pakistan: 189/9 (rr 4.3)

A length reverse inswinger angling on off stump, Haris Rauf attempts a push but misses completely and is bowled clean. It's a sharp delivery from the bowler, catching the batter off guard. Haris Rauf departs for a duck off 15 balls. Pakistan now need 43 runs from 36 balls with just one wicket left and a steep required rate of 7.2.

A full delivery outside off, Shadab Khan confidently drives it along the ground, picking up a quick single well fielded at deep cover.

Ellis bowls a full, outside off delivery with no movement. Shadab Khan leans in and drives firmly along the ground, but it is comfortably fielded at cover for no run.

Nathan Ellis bowls a length ball just outside off, and Shadab Khan pushes it quietly into the backward point region where it's fielded cleanly for no run.

A slower ball outside off at length, nudged gently by Shadab Khan through the off side. The ball stays low and is quickly fielded at third man, yielding no run.

Nathan Ellis bowls a length ball outside off, and Shadab Khan carefully works it on the ground toward mid on. No run taken off this controlled stroke.

Over 43: 7 runs. Bowler: Adam Zampa. Pakistan: 188/8 (rr 4.37)

Zampa bowls a length googly on off stump, and Haris Rauf works it down to mid-wicket where it is safely fielded. A tidy dot to finish the over. Pakistan require 44 runs from 42 balls with just two wickets left, holding a 13% chance to win.

Over the wicket. Length ball, outside off, front foot, drive along the ground to Matt Short at extra cover. 1 run.

This leg spinner from the length outside off tries to tempt Shadab Khan, but he smartly cuts it low and hard, racing it past point for no run.

Zampa bowls a full-length leg spin on off stump, and Shadab Khan drives it along the ground but there's no run as it's comfortably fielded at long off.

A length ball outside off from the leg spinner is carefully pushed by Shadab Khan, kept along the ground and fielded cleanly at cover. No run comes off this delivery.

Adam Zampa delivers a length ball outside off, but Shadab Khan unleashes a well-timed, controlled slog over long on for six. The pressure shifts as Pakistan's winning chances double from 7% to 13%.

Over 42: 0 runs. Bowler: Tanveer Sangha. Pakistan: 181/8 (rr 4.31)

A length ball on leg stump from the leg spinner, worked by the batter but missing the bat and hitting the pads for no run. Pakistan require 51 runs from 48 balls with just two wickets left, facing a steep chase.

A length ball on off stump from the leg spinner is met with a solid defensive stroke, keeping it on the ground for no run.

Tanveer Sangha floats a length ball on leg stump, and Haris Rauf defends it cautiously back to the bowler, no run added.

Tanveer Sangha floats a leg spinner, pitching back of a length on middle stump. Haris Rauf works it carefully on the ground, finding Alex Carey at mid-wicket for no run.

A length ball on leg stump from the leg spinner is worked neatly along the ground by the batter for no run.

Tanveer Sangha sends down a back of a length slider on off stump. Haris Rauf steps forward nicely and drives it firmly along the ground, but the shot finds a fielder who saves a run.

Over 41: 2 runs. Bowler: Adam Zampa. Pakistan: 181/8 (rr 4.41)

Adam Zampa bowls a back-of-a-length leg spinner just outside off; Shadab Khan attempts a cut but only manages a top edge, safely fielded at backward point for no run. Pakistan need 51 runs from 54 balls with two wickets in hand, a tough chase with just a 7% win probability.

The leg spinner pitches a length ball on leg stump, and Shadab works it patiently along the ground, no run coming off this delivery.

Adam Zampa bowls a back of a length leg spinner just outside off. Shadab Khan leans into a compact drive, keeping it controlled on the ground for no run.

A back of a length top spinner outside off, worked cleverly by Shadab Khan for two runs, nudging it into the gap with precision.

Adam Zampa sends down a length ball on off stump, the leg spinner teasing the batter who pushes it firmly but carefully towards deep extra cover where the fielder gathers.

The leg spinner pitches a back of a length delivery on off stump, and Shadab calmly pushes it into the off side for no run.

Over 40: 7 runs. Bowler: Matt Kuhnemann. Pakistan: 179/8 (rr 4.47)

The stock ball is pitched back of a length on outside off, met with a controlled drive by the batter who keeps it grounded towards long off. No run comes from this tidy stroke. Pakistan require 53 runs from 60 balls with two wickets in hand, holding a slim 6% chance to win.

Kuhnemann bowls a length stock ball on off stump; the batter works it with a spliced shot along the ground, but no run comes of it as Zampa fields sharply at short fine leg.

The length ball outside off sees Shadab attempt a cut shot but it's slightly mis-timed, allowing him to scramble through for a single.

Kuhnemann lands a length stock ball on off stump, but Shadab sweeps it crisply along the ground for a couple, pushing into the deep backward square leg where it's fielded cleanly.

A full stock ball on middle stump sees the batter execute a well-timed sweep. The shot stays along the ground and races away through deep backward square leg for four.

The stock ball lands on a length, targeting middle stump as Shadab sweeps with control, keeping it grounded and safe. No run comes from this tidy shot.

Over 39: 3 runs. Bowler: Matt Short. Pakistan: 172/8 (rr 4.41)

An off break pitched just outside off stump, landing back of a length. Haris Rauf plants a solid defensive stroke right on the pitch, keeping the scoreboard still with no run. Pakistan require 60 runs from 66 deliveries with two wickets in hand, facing a steep 3% win probability.

Short off-break outside off, and Shadab Khan pulls it firmly along the ground for one, with a neat pick-up from deep backward square leg.

The off break spins back slightly and is pushed carefully by the batter just outside off for no run.

Shadab Khan flicks it neatly off the full-length delivery on leg stump, keeping it grounded and seeing no run come.

Short of a length on leg stump, the off-break is flicked from the crease but mis-timed, allowing two runs after a fumble in the field.

An off break drifting outside off, pitched back of a length, and worked carefully by Shadab Khan just past the infield for no run.

Over 38: 1 run. Bowler: Matt Kuhnemann. Pakistan: 169/8 (rr 4.45)

A stock ball pitched back of a length on off stump, met with a worked shot that stays on the ground, finding no gap and resulting in no run. Pakistan need 63 from 72 with just two wickets in hand, their chances slim at 3 percent.

A short stock ball on off stump sees the batter play a solid defensive stroke, keeping it firmly on the ground for no run.

Kuhnemann bowls a stock ball, back of a length outside off stump. Haris Rauf pushes at it but mistimes, and the ball is easily fielded at extra cover for no run.

On a length, the stock ball runs on around off stump, with the batter defending it firmly back to the bowler.

Outside off, a back of a length stock ball is met with a mis-timed cut that skims off the edge for a quick single.

A length ball on off stump, met with a controlled drive that stays grounded and is expertly fielded by extra cover for no run.

Over 37: 8 runs. Bowler: Matt Short. Pakistan: 168/8 (rr 4.54)

This off break slips just outside off stump, and the batter pushes at it, but edges the ball harmlessly to the keeper who takes the catch. Shaheen Shah Afridi is caught behind for 11 off 18 deliveries. Shaheen Shah Afridi is out for 11 off 18 balls. Australia’s win probability has soared from 74% to 98%. Pakistan now require 64 runs from 78 balls with only 2 wickets remaining, and a win chance of just 2%.

An off break on a length outside off, pushed neatly along the ground by the batter to cover, where it's quickly fielded. No run comes off this tidy delivery.

An off break tossed up around off stump length, met with a well-timed, controlled slog-sweep that races elegantly through mid-wicket for four. Shaheen Shah Afridi's boundary boosts Pakistan’s momentum, lifting their WinViz advantage from 21% to 27%.

An off break pitched on a length just over off stump. The batter embraces it with a well-timed, controlled slog-sweep that races away towards fine leg for four.

Short outside off from the off-break, Shaheen attempts a pull but mistimes it, allowing a tidy stop at square leg.

This off break, landing a length ball just on off stump, is worked neatly by the batsman who keeps it firmly along the ground for no run.

Over 36: 4 runs. Bowler: Nathan Ellis. Pakistan: 160/7 (rr 4.44)

Nathan Ellis delivers a length reverse inswinger outside off, and Shadab Khan pushes it neatly back to mid off. The fielding is sharp, and it’s a tidy dot ball. Pakistan requires 72 runs off 84 balls, chasing with three wickets in hand and just over five runs an over needed. WinViz rates their chance at 17 percent.

A length ball on leg stump, the batter attempts a flick but misses, and the umpire calls a wide delivery. The wicketkeeper quickly fields up to keep things tight.

An off cutter, pitching back of a length outside off stump, is expertly cut by Shadab Khan into the backward point region for no run.

Shaheen works a length ball on leg stump, neatly guiding it for a quick single to deep square leg.

Nathan Ellis bowls a back-of-a-length delivery outside off, and Shadab Khan works it deftly through the off side for a single. Shadab Khan reaches his half-century in 75 balls at a strike rate of 67.

On a full delivery outside off, Afridi goes for a slog but mistimes it, managing just a single down to mid on where Green fields quickly.

Ellis delivers a length ball outside off, and Afridi pushes it gently back towards the bowler for no run.

Over 35: 13 runs. Bowler: Cameron Green. Pakistan: 156/7 (rr 4.46)

The bowler delivers a full-length ball just outside off stump, and Afridi pushes it neatly along the ground for a quick single. Afridi gets off the mark as Pakistan seek 76 from 90 balls with three wickets left, holding a 13% chance according to WinViz.

The batter attempts a cut shot off a short, outside off delivery but misses completely, resulting in a dot ball.

Pushing a length ball outside off, Shaheen Shah Afridi drives it firmly back to mid-off where Tanveer Sangha fields quickly; no run comes from this well-controlled shot.

Shadab Khan works a length ball just outside off stump neatly past the field at mid wicket for a single.

A back of a length delivery on leg stump, Shadab attempts a flick but misses. The ball slips past and a wild wide is called with a costly misfield by the keeper adding extra runs. That brings Pakistan to 154 for 7.

A length ball on off stump, Shadab Khan steps forward and unleashes a beautifully controlled drive. It's well timed and races over long off for a majestic six.

Green bowls a back of a length delivery outside off, and Shadab attempts a pull but mistimes it, resulting in no run.

Over 34: 0 runs. Bowler: Nathan Ellis. Pakistan: 143/7 (rr 4.21)

The off cutter pitches back of a length, drifting down the leg side, and Shaheen Shah Afridi defends it with a compact, controlled stroke along the ground for no run. Pakistan face a steep chase needing 89 runs from 96 balls with three wickets in hand, holding just a 6% chance as per WinViz.

Nathan Ellis delivers a full-length reverse outswinger outside off, Shaheen Shah Afridi elegantly drives it along the ground but it's well fielded at mid off, yielding no run.

A full-length reverse outswinger around off stump, the batter pushes it firmly down towards extra cover where the fielder collects it cleanly. No run comes off this delivery.

Nathan Ellis delivers a length ball just outside off, and Shaheen Shah Afridi goes for an aggressive slog but misses entirely. No run comes from that delivery.

An off cutter pitched at a length on off stump, met with a steady defensive stroke by the batter, who keeps it on the ground for no run.

Nathan Ellis bowls a length ball straight down the leg side. Shaheen Shah Afridi works at it but misses, the delivery striking his pad and yielding no run.

Over 33: 6 runs. Bowler: Cameron Green. Pakistan: 143/7 (rr 4.33)

Green fires in a yorker outside off, met with a controlled drive from Shadab that stays low and is fielded smartly at backward point. No run here. Pakistan now require 89 runs from 102 balls with three wickets left, holding just a 6% chance according to WinViz.

A length ball just outside off stump is neatly left alone by Shadab Khan, with no run coming from a disciplined delivery.

Green delivers a yorker right on leg stump, and Shadab pushes it away carefully along the ground for no run.

A length ball just outside off stump meets a well-timed drive from the batter. Shadab Khan sends it soaring over extra cover for a mighty six in controlled style. That goes down as the first six of the innings.

A full ball just outside off, defended with a controlled push by Shadab who keeps it firmly on the ground. No run comes from this tidy delivery.

A length ball outside off stump, Shadab Khan drives crisply but gets a thick edge on the bat-pad, resulting in no run.

Over 32: 5 runs. Bowler: Nathan Ellis. Pakistan: 137/7 (rr 4.28)

The reverse outswinger on a length targeting middle stump forces the batter to work hard but he misses, the ball striking his pad and he’s given leg before wicket after the review is lost. Arafat Minhas goes for 33 off 43, Pakistan loses their review and the win probability swings heavily in Australia's favor. Pakistan needs 95 runs from 108 balls with just three wickets left, facing a steep 4% chance of victory.

Ellis delivers a back of a length ball on middle stump, and Arafat Minhas pushes it calmly to backward point where Labuschagne fields smoothly. No run comes off this delivery.

The length ball on leg stump draws Arafat Minhas into a cautious defensive stroke, edging it just wide of the bat for no run.

Nathan Ellis delivers a length ball on off stump, a reverse inswinger that Shadab Khan works neatly through the off side for a quick single.

Nathan Ellis bowls a back-of-a-length delivery just outside off, and Shadab Khan drives with a thick edge, sneaking it past third man for a quick two.

Ellis bowls a length ball just outside off stump, Shadab gently pushes it along the ground towards third man and picks up a couple of runs.

Over 31: 5 runs. Bowler: Matt Kuhnemann. Pakistan: 132/6 (rr 4.26)

A length stock ball outside off is met with a sharp, well-timed reverse sweep. The ball races finely through third man for a boundary. Arafat Minhas moves to thirty off 40 with the chase requiring 100 runs from 114 balls and a 5.3 run rate, Pakistan holding four wickets in hand with a 20 percent chance.

A length ball outside off comes in and Arafat Minhas plays a neat, controlled defensive stroke, keeping it on the ground for no run.

A full outside off stock ball met with a mis-timed drive by Arafat Minhas, but it's straight to the bowler who fields it cleanly. No run there.

A length stock ball pitched outside off, met with a controlled glance that keeps it low and tight to the fielder at short fine leg, resulting in no run.

A back of a length stock ball on off stump, Arafat Minhas works it crisply towards mid-wicket but the fielder Marnus Labuschagne is quick to stop any runs.

A length stock ball pushed outside off, driven firmly along the ground by Shadab Khan for a quick single. The partnership moves to 50 runs off 82 balls.

Over 30: 4 runs. Bowler: Adam Zampa. Pakistan: 127/6 (rr 4.23)

Zampa floats a full leg spinner on leg stump, and Shadab gently pushes it to mid on for a single. Shadab Khan has reached thirty off 61 balls, keeping Pakistan on track needing 105 from 120 with 4 wickets in hand and a required run rate of 5.2; win probability stands at 17 percent.

Adam Zampa delivers a full-length leg spinner right on middle stump, and Arafat Minhas works it neatly to long on for a single.

Zampa tosses up a leg spinner outside off, and Shadab steps forward to drive it neatly through the off side for a comfortable single.

Zampa sends down a back of a length leg spinner, drifting on middle stump. Shadab just pushes it quietly back to the bowler who secures it at cover for no run.

A length slider on off stump, the batter pushes it with bat and pad, keeping it grounded and safely fielded at mid off for no run.

A leg spinner pitching back of a length on leg stump; Arafat Minhas attempts a flick but mis-times it, nudging the ball gently for a quick single.

Over 29: 1 run. Bowler: Matt Kuhnemann. Pakistan: 123/6 (rr 4.24)

Pitching back of a length on middle stump, the stock ball is worked neatly along the ground by Shadab Khan but yields no run, stopped well at mid on. Pakistan require 109 from 126 deliveries with four wickets in hand, holding a 15 percent chance according to WinViz.

The stock ball comes back of a length outside off stump; Shadab Khan gently pushes it through the off side but can't find a run.

A stock ball on off stump, pitched back of a length. Shadab Khan pushes it neatly into the backward point region, but no run comes off the shot.

A back of a length stock ball just outside off, met with a controlled push through the off side. No run comes off it as the fielder at extra cover cuts off any chance for quick singles.

A length stock ball on off stump line sees Shadab Khan push it carefully towards cover, where Cameron Green fields it cleanly. No run added here.

A length stock ball on middle stump is swept away with fine control through the leg side for a smart single.

Over 28: 3 runs. Bowler: Adam Zampa. Pakistan: 122/6 (rr 4.36)

Shadab Khan works a leg spinner back of a length on leg stump, hitting it firmly into his body. Josh Inglis gobbles up the ball at the stumps, and it results in a dot ball. Pakistan require 110 runs from 132 balls with four wickets in hand, still holding a 15% chance to chase down the target.