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Britannia Stakes Trends

Wednesday 15 June 2011 19:27, UK

Image: Sagramor will be popular in the Britannia.

Ian Ogg looks at the last ten renewals of the Britannia Stakes and picks out the key trends.

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Back Bertie to double up for Hills

  • Seven of the last 10 winners have carried between 8-8 and 9-1.
  • Seven of the last 10 winners have been rated between 87 and 95.
  • Four of the last 10 winners have been drawn six or lower.
  • Six of the last 10 winners have been drawn 18 or higher.
  • Two favourites from the last 10 have been successful.
  • Four winners (including three of the last four) have been returned at 25-1 or longer.
  • Eight of the last 10 winners finished in the first three on their preceding start but only one was successful.
  • All of the last five winners had won at least twice but the previous five had won only once.
  • Eight of the last 10 winners had had seven starts or fewer.
  • Three winners (none of the last five) had only won a maiden prior to success here.
  • Three of the last five winners had won at Class Three or above.
  • Six of the last 10 winners had won at up to seven furlongs prior to this contest with the remaining four all successful at up to a mile. Summary Plenty of qualifiers on a number of the key trends. Captain Bertie represents last year's successful connections, made the frame in the same Chester handicap as 2005 winner Mostaasher and, like the last three winners, carries 8-10 but is drawn a little wider than ideal and those drawn low have struggled to make an impact this week. Stablemate Dream Achieved could be better drawn in 26 whilst Sagramor also looks well berthed and is sure to attract plenty of support but recent winners have tended to run well on their preceding start without winning so marginal preference is for Captain Bertie.

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