Racecards
17:25 Kempton Park
Queen's Prize Handicap (Class 2)
- 11 Runners
- Distance: 2m
- Going: Standard
- Surface: AllWeather
Savannah Bay
665- Form 557487/
- Age 7
- Weight 9-9
- Official Rating 100
held up mid-division, held up 5f out, weakened over 2f out
- Form 831-451
- Age 6
- Weight 9-3
- Official Rating 94
- Trainer G & J Moore
- Jockey R L Moore
held up, in rear, smooth headway 2f out, ridden to lead 1f out, soon clear, comfortably
- Form 013402-
- Age 7
- Weight 9-2
- Official Rating 93
held up, towards rear, some headway 3f out, soon ridden and weakened over 2f out
Hiddensee (USA)
203- Form 116282-
- Age 4
- Weight 8-12
- Official Rating 93
- Trainer C & M Johnston
- Jockey K Darley
prominent, chased leader halfway, ridden over 2f out, every chance, weakened quickly final furlong
Michabo (IRE)
317- Form 2130/21-
- Age 5
- Weight 8-8
- Official Rating 85
- Trainer H Morrison
- Jockey S J Drowne
took, keen hold, led, ridden and headed over 1f out, soon weakened
Akritas
631- Form P04453/
- Age 5
- Weight 8-7
- Official Rating 84
- Trainer P & O Cole
- Jockey Richard Hughes
towards rear, ridden over 2f out, stayed on from over 1f out, edged left inside final furlong, never nearer
- Form 20/9176-
- Age 6
- Weight 8-5
- Official Rating 82
- Trainer C R Egerton
- Jockey A Munro
held up, ridden to chase leaders halfway, led narrowly over 1f out, headed 1f out, no chance with winner inside final furlong
- Form 54242-3
- Age 4
- Weight 8-5
- Official Rating 86
- Trainer Mrs N Smith
- Jockey James Doyle
tracked leader, ridden over 4f out, lost touch and weakened over 3f out
- Form R1-3441
- Age 5
- Weight 8-4
- Official Rating 80
- Trainer G & J Moore
- Jockey P Hanagan
behind, headway over 2f out, ridden to dispute lead over 1f out, every chance and no extra inside final furlong
- Form 04304-1
- Age 9
- Weight 8-4
- Official Rating 76
prominent, ridden to dispute and every chance over 1f out, kept on one pace inside final furlong
- Form 05-7250
- Age 8
- Weight 8-4
- Official Rating 70
- Trainer G P Enright
- Jockey R Brisland
took keen hold, mid-division, chased leaders 3f out, effort 2f out, not quicken over 1f out, stayed on same pace
In depth
Verdict
Establishment is selected ahead of Hiddensee and Cold Turkey. Charles Cyzer's horse looked to appreciate the Kempton polytrack and he won with plenty in hand on his most recent visit. A weight of 8st 4lbs sees Martin Dwyer takes over from Frankie Dettori in the saddle. Hiddensee is a classy individual and looked to be going the right way last season. Mark Johnston's horses have not been running well this term so there are some reservations. Cold Turkey is a consistent individual and Gary Moore's yard are in flying form at the moment. He has not totally convinced over today's trip so it will be interesting to gauge the market vibes. Valance has been busy under the National Hunt code but a perusal of the formbook shows that he has some useful form on the level. Fortune Island is a quirky individual and is impossible to predict from a form perspective. He did win an all-weather race in 2002 but most things with him are in the mind. Michabo looks the type to stay and if one considers his Sandown victory over 1m6f - there is good reason to suggest some improvement is possible. Akritas returns from a long absence. Establishment is far from an improving youngster but proven form is valuable around Kempton and we shall recommend him in the finale.
Formwatch
Savannah Bay 7-1 (9-0) Held up towards rear, headway and not clear run over 2f out, switched over 1f out, not run on, 7th of 12, 8l behind Corrib Eclipse (9-0) at Ascot 2m 6f stk (B) frm in Jun '04.
Cold Turkey 7-1 (9-7) Held up 5th, stayed on steadily from over 1f out, led last strides, won at Lingfield 1m 5f hcp 0-100 (2) pol in Mar beating Country Pursuit (8-5) by a hd, 7 ran.
Fortune Island (IRE) 11-1 (9-13) Held up towards rear, smooth headway from 4f out, soon chased leader, edged left and every chance over 1f out, stayed on same pace final furlong, 2nd of 11, 3/4l behind Indian Pipe Dream (9-5) at Newmarket 2m hcp 0-90 (3) sft in Oct.
Hiddensee (USA) 13-2 (9-2) Towards rear, pushed along over 6f out, ridden and headway over 1f out, soon hung badly left, went 2nd inside final furlong, ran on, edged right towards finish, 2nd of 17, nk behind Indian Pipe Dream (8-13) at Haydock 1m 6f hcp (3) gs in S.
Michabo (IRE) 7-1 (9-3) Made all, quickened clear 2f out, stayed on gamely, won at Sandown 1m 6f hcp (4) gf in Jun beating Stolen Hours (8-5) by 2l, 13 ran.
Akritas 9-2 (8-10) Prominent, led briefly 2f out, ridden and every chance 1f out, no extra, 3rd of 13, 3/4l behind Mana d'Argent (9-13) at Ascot 2m hcp 0-85 (D) gf in Jul '04.
Valance (IRE) 16-1 (9-5) Chased leaders, outpaced and lost place 4f out, headway final 2f, no impression inside final furlong, 6th of 12, 3 1/2l behind Garden Society (9-6) at Newbury 1m 5f hcp (3) gf in Aug.
Spear Thistle 11-2 (8-8) Led, joined 6f out, soon led again, ridden and headed well over 2f out, kept on, lost 2nd near finish, 3rd of 9, 4 1/2l behind Llamadas (7-6) at Kempton 2m hcp 0-95 (3) pol in Mar.
Champagne Shadow (IRE) 4-5fav (9-5) Tracked leaders, led 1f out, driven clear final furlong, won at Lingfield 1m 4f clm (5) pol in Mar beating Dagola (8-7) by 2 1/2l, 11 ran.
Establishment 8-1 (8-12) Well placed, driven to lead over 1f out, clear final furlong, stayed on, won at Kempton 2m hcap (4) pol beating Tycheros (7-7) by 5l, 12 ran.
High Point (IRE) 20-1 (8-13) Led after 1f, ridden and headed over 6f out, weakened over 4f out, 10th of 12, 26l behind Establishment (8-12) at Kempton 2m hcap (4) pol.