Racecards
20:20 Ayr
Ayr Central Shopping Centre Handicap (Class 4)
- 8 Runners
- Distance: 6f
- Going: Good to Firm
- Surface: Turf
- £11,000 added
- Form 41-91
- Age 3
- Weight 9-7
- Official Rating 78
prominent, pushed along over 2f out, driven over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong
- Form 465164
- Age 3
- Weight 9-2
- Official Rating 73
always prominent, ridden to challenge over 1f out, ran on to lead well inside final furlong, driven out
- Form 6313
- Age 3
- Weight 8-12
- Official Rating 69
- Trainer T D Barron
- Jockey T Eaves
led, ridden over 1f out, headed and unable to quicken well inside final furlong
Boy The Bell
17- Form 32-2335
- Age 3
- Weight 8-9
- Official Rating 66
- Trainer M Mullineaux
- Jockey Joseph Young
slowly into stride, headway 4f out, pushed along 2f out, kept on same pace, no impression
Key Breeze
13- Form 554-05
- Age 3
- Weight 8-6
- Official Rating 63
- Trainer K A Ryan
- Jockey P McDonald
prominent, took keen hold, ridden over 2f out, beaten over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong
- Form 54355-1
- Age 3
- Weight 8-6
- Official Rating 63
- Trainer D O'Meara
- Jockey J P Sullivan
held up, headway over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, not trouble front pair
- Form 6-7764
- Age 3
- Weight 8-6
- Official Rating 63
- Trainer T J Etherington
- Jockey R Ffrench
mid-division, lost place over 3f out, effort when not clear run well over 1f out, stayed on same pace, no impression
- Form 7785-4
- Age 3
- Weight 8-2
- Official Rating 56
- Trainer J S Goldie
- Jockey Kelly Harrison
awkward start, pulled hard in rear, effort 3f out, ridden 2f out, not run on
Previous results
In depth
Verdict
Pepper Lane showed she was progressing after getting the victory at Redcar earlier this month and Carrie's Magic could have a trick in her despite finishing third in the same race, but COMMANCHE RAIDER runs for the Michael Dods yard who have had a very good strike rate with their three-year-olds so far this year. 21% of three-year-old run outs have resulted in a win for the Dods yard in 2010. Commanche Raider comes here after winning at Newcastle and has two wins from four races. Although returning to the 6f trip which made for a poor effort from the gelding at Hamilton last month, we forgive this performance as this was a seasonal bow and has come on nicely since then. Pepper Lane just got up to win at Redcar and beat Carrie's Magic that day but in this race it is likely to be much closer given the movements in the weights. Only 6lb separates them and this could produce a closer race. However we overlook these two and go for the in-form Commanche Raider.
Formwatch
Commanche Raider (IRE) 3-1 (9-7) Slowly into stride, held up in touch, ridden and headway when edged left over 1f out, stayed on to lead close home, won at Newcastle 5f 3yo hcp 0-75 (5) gf beating Lees Anthem (8-5) by hd, 11 ran.
Thrust Control (IRE) 33-1 (9-1) Steadied start, keen held up towards rear, ridden over 2f out, headway over 1f out, stayed on final furlong, 4th of 13, 5l behind Maid In Heaven (9-3) at Leicester 7f 3yo hcp 0-80 (4) gd.
Carrie's Magic 5-1 (9-7) Tracked leaders, ridden 2f out, stayed on to 3rd 1f out, not pace to reach leading duo, 3rd of 12, 5l behind Pepper Lane (8-2) at Redcar 6f 3yo hcp 0-70 (5) gd.
Boy The Bell 20-1 (8-12) Chased leaders, ridden 2f out, weakened over 1f out, 5th of 12, 6l behind Pepper Lane (8-2) at Redcar 6f 3yo hcp 0-70 (5) gd.
Key Breeze 22-1 (8-8) Slowly into stride, held up behind, headway on inside rail 3f out, ridden to chase leaders over 1f out, kept on same pace, never troubled leaders, 5th of 9, 9l behind Jeannie Galloway (9-7) at Musselburgh 7f 3yo hcp 0-80 (4) gf.
Pepper Lane 7-1 (8-2) Held up, headway towards stand side over 2f out, ridden to lead 1f out, driven out, won at Redcar 6f 3yo hcp 0-70 (5) gd beating Sharp Eclipse (9-2) by 3/4l, 12 ran.
Ruler's Honour (IRE) 25-1 (8-10) Tracked leaders on outer, ridden over 1f out, kept on, no impression, 4th of 9, 9l behind Tesslam (9-3) at Doncaster 7f 3yo mdn (5) gf.
Weetentherty 33-1 (9-0) Held up towards rear, ridden and headway over 1f out, staying on one pace when not much room inside final furlong, 4th of 13, 6l behind Timeless Elegance (9-8) at Ayr 6f 3yo hcp 0-60 (6) gf in May.
Chookie Avon 20-1 (8-11) Slowly into stride, held up towards rear and keen, soon in touch, ridden over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong, 7th of 9, 4 1/2l behind Desert Forest (9-5) at Musselburgh 7f 3yo hcp 0-70 (5) gf in May.