tracked leader, mistake 4 out, every chance next, ridden and weakened on flat
led, headed approaching 3 out, driven and pulled up before next
held up, effort after 4 out, soon driven and no extra
tracked leaders, lost placed 14th, tailed off and pulled up before 3 out
tracked leaders, ridden 12th, tailed off when pulled up 14th
held up, smooth headway 14th, led 3 out, clear when blundered last, kept on well
held up, headway 4 out, no chance with winner
A weak race where the reluctant vote goes to PEUT ETRE SIVOLA and he is, perhaps, the safest option having scored last time. Winning pointer Waterford makes some appeal as would Blue Rising if the market were to speak positively. The Pipe runner is unpenalised for his win in a conditional jockeys' race at Warwick which immediately advertises his claims. He responded well to the first time visor there but there's always the chance that it may not prove so effective second time around whilst this will be his second demanding race in a week. Waterford failed to show a great deal under Rules for Arthur Moore but has been in winning form between the flags for his new connections. The yard has done well enough with a handful of runners under Rules for him to be worthy of close consideration. Foly Pleasant was a long way behind the selection at Warwick, Count The Cost and Hollows Mist have shown precious little lately whilst Nicozetto and Blue Rising have rarely troubled the judge in a handful of runs over fences. The latter's connections ensure that he's considered but we'll side with the proven claims of Peut Etre Sivola.
Peut Etre Sivola (FR) 16-1 (11-9) Held up towards rear, headway 6th, mistake 12th, led 4 out, drew clear from 3 out, mistake 2 out, driven out, won at Warwick 3m 2f cnd hcp chs 0-100 (4) gs beating Kingston-Banker (9-12) by 7l, 10 ran.
Waterford (IRE) Evensfav (12-0) A.p; led 2-15; led app 2 out; rdn out, won at Whittington 3m ptp gd in Mar beating Kings Reason (12-0) by 1l, 10 ran.
Blue Rising 10-1 (11-3) Towards rear, headway 7th, one pace, 6th of 15, 7l behind Scott's Mill (10-13) at Carlisle 3m 1f amt hcp hdl (5) gd in Nov '07.
Foly Pleasant (FR) 9-1 (10-12) Mid-division, headway 5th, ridden approaching 14th, weakened last, 4th of 10, 15l behind Peut Etre Sivola (11-9) at Warwick 3m 2f cnd hcp chs 0-100 (4) gs.
Count The Cost (IRE) 9-2 (10-11) Mid-division, ridden and lost place at 12th, weakened 4 out and pulled up 3 out in race won by Fisherman Jack (10-0) at Sedgefield 3m 3f hcp chs 0-105 (4) sft in Jun, 11 ran.
Nicozetto (FR) 9-1 (10-5) Held up behind, jumped slowly 1st, headway after 7th, weakened from 4 out, 8th of 10, 45l behind Lerida (9-12) at Carlisle 2m hcp chs 0-95 (5) hvy in Oct.
Hollows Mist 33-1 (10-2) Mid-division, blundered 12th, never dangerous, 9th of 15, 36l behind Smart Man (10-8) at Newcastle 3m hcp chs (5) gd in Oct.
