led, ridden and headed entering final furlong, soon weakened
close up, ridden 2f out, stayed on towards finish
raced wide in touch, ridden and headway entering final furlong, soon chased winner, no impression towards finish
tracked leaders, ridden over 1f out, kept on one pace
in touch in rear, pushed along 2f out, never a factor
pressed leader, ridden to lead entering final furlong, ran on
in touch towards rear, pushed along over 2f out, soon weakened
Probability continues to improve and was winning for the fourth time in five outings when successful at Kempton last time. He already has verdicts over Jungle Inthebungle and Be Like Me and should go close again despite a further 3lb rise. Motagally won a novice event over 5f at Wolverhampton last year before struggling in Listed company and could go well now handicapping for the first time along with ALNASHERAT (NAP). But the latter has a recent outing under his belt and despite failing to land the odds over 7f at Newcastle, Sir Michael Stoute’s colt gets another chance on his earlier third over today’s trip at Newmarket behind subsequent Group 1 winner Quorto.
Probability (IRE) 7-1 (9-4) won at Kempton 6f hcp (4) pol in Apr beating Tinto (8-13) by 1/2l, 10 ran.
Prairie Spy (IRE) 25-1 (9-3) 9th of 13, 6 1/2l behind Stay Classy (8-7) at Doncaster 7f fll (2) gd in Sep.
Be Like Me (IRE) 20-1 (9-4) 9th of 10, 2 3/4l behind Probability (9-4) at Kempton 6f hcp (4) pol in Apr.
Motagally 20-1 (9-1) 8th of 10, 10 1/4l behind Vintage Brut (9-4) at York 6f lst stks (1) sft in Oct.
Jungle Inthebungle (IRE) 12-1 (9-4) 6th of 12, 2 1/4l behind Probability (9-0) at Kempton 6f hcp (4) pol in Mar.
Alnasherat 8-11fav (9-0) 4th of 13, 4l behind Conaglen (9-0) at Newcastle 7f stks (5) pol in Apr.
Aegean Mist 25-1 (9-6) 7th of 10, 10l behind Beleaguerment (9-0) at Kempton 6f (5) pol in Dec.
Lovin (USA) 12-1 (9-2) last of 8, 6 3/4l behind Liberation Day (8-9) at Wolverhampton 6f hcp (3) pol in Feb.