Racecards
14:35 Ludlow
Totepool 'a Better Way To Bet' Novices' Chase (Class 3)
- 13 Runners
- Distance: 2m
- Going: Good to Firm
- Surface: Turf
- Form 101/302-
- Age 7
- Weight 11-0
- Official Rating 115
- Trainer F Jordan
- Jockey L P Aspell
behind, headway 7th, hit 8th, 4th and beaten, when fell 3 out
- Form 135/567-
- Age 8
- Weight 11-0
- Official Rating 104
- Trainer A W Carroll
- Jockey Wayne Hutchinson
in touch, ridden 8th, left 2nd 4 out, weakened last
- Form 121592-
- Age 7
- Weight 11-0
- Official Rating 110
- Trainer Evan Williams
- Jockey Christian Williams
chased winner from 4th, 1 length down when hit, slipped and unseated rider 4 out
- Form 2567/73-
- Age 7
- Weight 11-0
- Official Rating 113
- Trainer H J Manners
- Jockey T Messenger
mid-division, ridden after 9th, soon weakened
- Form F57649-
- Age 11
- Weight 11-0
- Official Rating 111
- Trainer Dr P Pritchard
- Jockey J Mogford
mid-division, hit 7th, soon weakened
- Form P-
- Age 9
- Weight 11-0
- Trainer J Gallagher
- Jockey V Slattery
not fluent, always towards rear, tailed off when pulled up before 4 out
- Form 447932-
- Age 7
- Weight 11-0
- Trainer J & A O'Neill
- Jockey A P McCoy
refused to race, took no part
- Form 0400F0-
- Age 8
- Weight 11-0
- Official Rating 104
made all, left clear 4 out, easily
- Form B/36P44-
- Age 7
- Weight 10-7
- Official Rating 85
- Trainer M C Chapman
- Jockey L Vickers
prominent to 8th, jumped left 2 out, disputing 3rd and no chance when mistake and unseated rider last
- Form P/00006-
- Age 7
- Weight 10-7
- Trainer Mrs P Ford
- Jockey W P Kavanagh
towards rear, blundered 3 out, kept on from 2 out, never dangerous
- Form 332P/2U-
- Age 6
- Weight 10-7
- Official Rating 105
- Trainer S H Shirley-Beavan
- Jockey T Scudamore
mid-division, ridden after 9th, hampered 3 out, kept on to go 2nd flat, no chance with winner
In depth
Verdict
Predicament is the pick over Harry Potter, Conroy and Man From Highworth in this novices' chase. Predicament was fancied at Taunton just six days ago, but seemed to get going too late and was held by Goldbrook. However, he seemed to handle the fast ground well, and although hard to place in the past, could now start to make a name for himself on what is only his third outing over fences. Harry Potter shaped well here behind Lindsay in February and in the main has been most consistent so can give the selection most to do. Conroy is also worth keeping on the right side, having finished a close second to Rooster's Reunion here in October, but he has not been out since and in all probability will need the run, while Man From Highworth needs to step on his latest Taunton third to Pardishar to figure. With Tony McCoy to coax him round, Predicament can come good.
Formwatch
Conroy 14-1 (11-6) Held up, headway approaching 3 out, led approaching 2 out, soon hung right, headed last, not quicken, 2nd of 8, 1 1/2l behind Rooster's Reunion (11-6) at Ludlow 2m beg chs (E) gf in Oct.
Harry Potter (GER) 10-1 (11-8) Held up, headway 9th, soon ridden, not quicken flat, 2nd of 5, 2l behind Lindsay (11-11) at Ludlow 2m hcp chs 0-120 (3) gd in Feb.
Man From Highworth 8-1 (10-9) With leader, led 4th, ridden and headed approaching 3 out, soon outpaced, 3rd of 7, 30l behind Pardishar (11-2) at Taunton 2m beg chs (4) gs in Mar.
Milligan (FR) 40-1 (11-3) Prominent, lost place approaching 4th, soon behind, 9th of 10, well behind Political Intrigue (10-10) at Ludlow 2m hcp hdl 0-120 (3) gf.
Predicament 15-8fav (11-1) Held up behind leading pair, hit 7th, ridden and effort after 2 out, kept on to go 2nd close home, 2nd of 6, 2l behind Goldbrook (11-1) at Taunton 2m beg chs (4) frm.
Rapide Plaisir (IRE) 12-1 (9-10) Led and clear, reduced lead when mistake 6 out, headed next, lost place and weakened from before 4 out, 11th of 12, well behind Davenport Democrat (9-10) at Cork 2m hcp chs 0-140 gs in Oct.
Dalriath 33-1 (10-9) Held up in touch, weakened from 8th, 4th of 5, well behind Rebel Rhythm (11-8) at Market Rasen 2m 4f nov chs (3) sft.
Minouchka (FR) 14-1 (11-3) Chased leaders, blundered and unseated rider in race won by Master Papa (10-9) at Perth 2m hcp chs 0-110 (4) gf, 11 ran.