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Sky Sports bust common football myths: Game of two halves?

Myths

They often say it's a game of two halves - but how often do results change after the break? We've checked every Premier League result since 1992 to bust the myth...

Sometimes a game appears to be beyond a team at the half-time whistle and it's suggested that a rousing team talk could reverse fortunes. After all, it's a game of two halves, right?

In fact, the half-time result - win, lose or draw - has been unchanged at the final whistle in 5,878 out of 9,746 games - so there is a 60 per cent chance that the half-time result will also be the full-time result.

Home advantage?
Home advantage?

Sky Sports bust common football myths

In terms of seasons, 2009/10 produced the highest number of unchanged scorelines with 64.2 per cent of games ending as it was at the break, followed by 1998/99 (63.7 per cent), 2010/11 (63.4 per cent) and 2003/04 (62.9 per cent).

GRAPHIC
Image: On average, 60 per cent of Premier League games have ended with the same result as the half-time standings

In contrast, 2004/05 really was the season of two halves - with 46.1 per cent of games ending with a different result than the first half, followed by 1999/00 (43.4 per cent), 2002,03 (42.6 per cent) and 2008/09 (42.1 per cent).

Is 2-0 the worst lead?
Is 2-0 the worst lead?

Sky Sports bust common football myths

A league-high 68.4 per cent of Blackpool's top-flight games ended unchanged, followed by Swindon (66.7 per cent), Sheffield United (64.8 per cent) and Bournemouth (64.5 per cent).

Luke Varney was on the scoresheet for Blackpool
Image: Blackpool rarely changed the half-time result by the final whistle during their time in the Premier League

Conversely, Swansea are the most likely team to finish a game with a different result, with 47.4 per cent of their games changing from the 45-minute mark, followed by West Brom (44.5 per cent), Hull City (44.2 per cent), Burnley (43.9 per cent), QPR (43.2 per cent) and Tottenham (43.1 per cent).

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Goals

Despite the fact that results a less likely to change during the second interval, it's 25.8 per cent more likely that a goal is scored after the break. In total, 11,413 goals have been scored during the first half and 14,356 in the second.

Scored too early?
Scored too early?

Sky Sports bust common football myths

Since 1995/96, when the Premier League was reduced to 20 teams, 2010/11 produced the highest number of first-half goals with 476, while only 398 were scored in 2008/09.

During the second interval, a league-high 602 were scored last season - joint with 2011/12, but just 498 were converted during 2005/06.

Games

Two of the greatest examples of games with distinctly different halves involve the identical fixture: Manchester United v Tottenham.

Don't shoot, don't score?
Don't shoot, don't score?

Sky Sports bust common football myths

In 2001/02, Spurs led United 3-0 at the break but ended up losing the game 5-3 at White Hart Lane.

TOTTENHAM 3-5 MAN UTD
Image: Tottenham 3-5 Man Utd

United achieved another five-goal overhaul over Tottenham in 2008/09, recovering from a 2-0 half-time deficit to win 5-2. Newcastle also salvaged a 4-4 draw after falling four goals behind at the break in 2010/11.

Newcastle 4-4 Arsenal
Image: Newcastle 4-4 Arsenal

But there have also been numerous memorable games with contrasting halves that met our criteria, listed below...

Greatest PL games of two halves

  • 2016/2017 Bournemouth v Liverpool: 4-3 (0-2)
  • 2015/2016 Norwich City v Liverpool: 4-5 (2-1)
  • 2014/2015 Leicester City v Man United: 5-3 (1-2)
  • 2012/2013 West Brom v Man United: 5-5 (1-3)
  • 2012/2013 Man United v Newcastle: 4-3 (1-2)
  • 2011/2012 Chelsea FC v Arsenal: 3-5 (2-1)
  • 2011/2012 Blackburn Rovers v Arsenal: 4-3 (1-2)
  • 2010/2011 Newcastle v Arsenal: 4-4 (0-4)
  • 2008/2009 Man United v Tottenham: 5-2 (0-2)
  • 2007/2008 Tottenham v Chelsea : 4-4 (1-2)
  • 2007/2008 Chelsea v Aston Villa: 4-4 (1-2)
  • 2007/2008 Tottenham v Aston Villa: 4-4 (1-3)
  • 2006/2007 West Ham v Tottenham: 3-4 (2-0)
  • 2003/2004 Fulham v Blackburn Rovers: 3-4 (2-1)
  • 2003/2004 Tottenham v Leicester City: 4-4 (3-1)
  • 2003/2004 Wolves v Leicester City: 4-3 (0-3)
  • 2000/2001 Leeds United v Liverpool : 4-3 (1-2)
  • 2000/2001 Arsenal v Charlton Athletic: 5-3 (1-2)
  • 2001/2002 Tottenham v Man United: 3-5 (3-0)
  • 1999/2000 Everton v Leeds United: 4-4 (3-2)
  • 1998/1999 West Ham v Wimbledon FC: 3-4 (3-1)
  • 1997/1998 Leeds United v Derby County: 4-3 (2-3)
  • 1995/1996 Liverpool v Newcastle: 4-3 (1-2)
  • 1994/1995 Aston Villa v Leicester City: 4-4 (2-0)
  • 1994/1995 Wimbledon FC v Aston Villa: 4-3 (1-2)
  • 2005/2006 Chelsea v Bolton: 5-1 (0-1)

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