When can Liverpool win the Premier League title?
Liverpool could claim their first title in 30 years at Goodison Park or the Etihad Stadium
Last Updated: 19/02/20 11:51am
It's becoming inevitable Liverpool will claim their first title in 30 years, but when exactly will it happen? And can they secure it at the home of a rival?
Here, we do the maths on the possibilities, how they can win the title at rivals Everton or Manchester City, and what records they could break along the way...
What if Liverpool and Man City keep winning?
Liverpool need 15 points from their remaining 12 games to secure the Premier League title - that's five wins.
So if both Liverpool and City keep winning from this point, Liverpool's fifth win, as the current schedule goes, would be at Anfield against Crystal Palace on Saturday, March 21, live on Sky Sports.
You say 'as the current schedule goes'...
There could be some fixture confusion if Liverpool keep winning on all fronts.
If Liverpool make it to the quarter-finals of the competition by beating Chelsea in the fifth round, their home match with Crystal Palace on March 21 will be moved.
City's Premier League game at Chelsea on March 21 will also be moved if they win at Sheffield Wednesday in the fifth round (played week commencing March 2), while their home game with Arsenal (changed for Carabao Cup final) is still to be re-arranged.
It's hard to see both of these games being moved before the Man City vs Liverpool game on the weekend of April 4, with an international break straight after the FA Cup round.
Therefore, the fifth game - if Liverpool and City keep winning - could be against Manchester City at the Etihad on the weekend of April 4.
Fixtures could also change with FA Cup semi-finals scheduled for the weekend of April 18.
Liverpool's remaining PL fixtures
|1||West Ham (H)||Feb 24||Live on Sky|
|2||Watford (A)||Feb 29||Live on Sky|
|3||Bournemouth (H)||March 7|
|4||Everton (A)||March 16||Live on Sky|
|5||Crystal Palace (H)||March 21*||Live on Sky - *Possible FA Cup 1/4 final|
|6||Man City (A)||April 4|
|7||Aston Villa (H)||April 11|
|8||Brighton (A)||April 18*||*Possible FA Cup 1/2 final|
|9||Burnley (H)||April 25|
|10||Arsenal (A)||May 2|
|11||Chelsea (H)||May 9|
|12||Newcastle (A)||May 17|
But what if Liverpool keep winning and City don't?
Not an impossibility, given City's run of fixtures before the weekend of April 4 includes Leicester (away) and Manchester United (away).
City's fixtures before playing Liverpool
|1||West Ham (H)||Feb 19||Live on Sky|
|2||Leicester (A)||Feb 22||Live on Sky|
|3||Man Utd (A)||March 8||Live on Sky|
|4||Burnley (H)||March 14|
|5||Chelsea (A)||March 21||*Possible FA Cup 1/4 final|
|6||Liverpool (H)||April 4|
|Arsenal (H)||TBC||Rearranged due to CC final|
The very earliest Liverpool could win the title is at home against Bournemouth on Saturday, March 7. However that would mean Liverpool winning all of their matches, City slipping up in all, and Leicester beating City but not winning any other game.
At that point, Liverpool would have eight games remaining, smashing the record for most games remaining when a title has been secured (five - Man Utd 2000/01 and Man City 2017/18). Man Utd also hold the record for the earliest title-winning date - April 14 in the 2000/01 season.
More realistically, if City get less than three points compared to Liverpool between now and 14 March, the Reds can claim the title at Goodison Park on the weekend of March 16, live on Sky Sports Premier League.
Goodison?! Tell me more! What has to happen for Liverpool to win the league at Everton?
If Liverpool keep winning and City drop three points between now and the Merseyside derby, Jurgen Klopp's side would claim the title at Goodison Park on March 16.
It did look as though Storm Ciara's role in the postponement of Man City's home game with West Ham would help Everton fans ever so slightly, in that it would have given City one less game in which to drop points. However, that game has been rescheduled for February 19, live on Sky Sports, so technically nothing changes.
If Liverpool did secure the title at Goodison, it would be only the second time a team have secured the Premier League title at the home of their local rivals, after Arsenal won the league at White Hart Lane in 2004.
Wait, all of this depends on Liverpool winning every game. What if they slip up a couple times?
We are going with current form, so you cannot blame us. But of course, it would take an incredible effort for Liverpool to keep winning, and they would be smashing records along the way.
There are many possibilities if Liverpool drop points here and there, so it's important to keep tabs on those 15 points that Liverpool need, and work from there.
Don't forget about Leicester, either. The maths changes slightly if the Foxes overtake City in the coming weeks; they are currently two points behind.
We are still six weeks away from the clocks changing, and Liverpool could win the title pretty soon. What records could they break?
- The points record of 100 (Man City 2017/18) could be smashed; Liverpool will have 112 points if they win every game.
- The biggest points gap between first and second is 19 points (Man City 2017/18) - the gap now is 22. City need to better Liverpool's results between now and the end of the season to protect that record.
- Liverpool need eight wins from their final 12 games to beat the win record of 32 (Man City 2017/18).
Follow the action with Sky Sports
Liverpool's February games against West Ham (home - Feb 24) and Watford (away - Feb 29) will be shown on Sky Sports, as well as their March fixtures against Everton (away - March 16) and Crystal Palace (home - March 21).