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Premier League predictions and best bets: Tottenham to hold Man City in Super Sunday thriller

Watch Aston Villa vs Brentford, Man Utd vs Fulham, Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace, Tottenham vs Man City & Sunderland vs Burnley live on Sky Sports

Premier League predictions

Our football betting expert Jones Knows provides his insight across the Premier League weekend.

Aston Villa vs Brentford, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports

Aston Villa vs Brentford

This is one of those prices that makes you stop, wash your face with cold water and check you're reading it correctly.

Aston Villa to win at 21/20 with Sky Bet feels very generous considering what this team have been telling us for months.

Since going winless in their opening five Premier League games, Villa have been nothing short of elite. They've taken 43 points from 18 matches, title-challenger output no doubt and no side in the division have collected more points over that period. That's not a short hot streak either. It's a sample of results to respect. It's sustained excellence.

Brentford, meanwhile, remain a side you want to oppose on their travels. Only bottom club Wolves have suffered more away defeats in the Premier League this season (8). Home win.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Aston Villa to win (21/20 with Sky Bet)

Manchester United vs Fulham, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports

Man Utd vs Fulham

There is no better attacker of a set-piece in world football than Harry Maguire. And in a Premier League season where dead-ball situations are being mined relentlessly for goals, Maguire is going to get his feed soon enough.

Harry Maguire heads against the bar at close range (AP Photo/Dave Thompson)
Image: Harry Maguire is 7/1 to score vs Fulham

Back in the Manchester United starting XI, Maguire is playing with an authority that has shone brightly in the last two performances. That confidence can translate to when he ventures forward. Maguire's old-school dominance remains a potent betting weapon and the 7/1 with Sky Bet for him to score is worth jumping on.

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SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Harry Maguire to score (7/1 with Sky Bet)

Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports

Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace

There's a strong whiff of needle about this one. There's lingering animosity in the air after the summer legal battles which ended in Forest replacing Palace in the Europa League and when you layer in the relegation context, emotions are likely to be running hot. That's usually when the card markets come alive.

One match-up in particular looks primed to deliver.

Neco Williams is expected to lock horns with Ismaila Sarr, and that's a tough afternoon for any full-back. Sarr is relentless in one-vs-one situations, drives straight at defenders and forces decisions at pace. The data is damning from a defensive perspective as Sarr has drawn 21 cards from opponents since the start of last season, with only Bruno Guimaraes responsible for more in the Premier League.

Williams looks a bet material at 100/30 with Sky Bet to be carded in an edgy game.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Neco Williams to be carded (100/30 with Sky Bet)

Tottenham vs Manchester City, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports

Spurs vs Man City

There's no escaping the strange relationship between these two. Spurs have won seven of the last 12 meetings and Pep Guardiola has lost more Premier League games against Tottenham (8) than any other opponent. On paper, that history screams Tottenham.

And when you see Spurs at 100/30 with Sky Bet, the temptation is obvious. But Spurs at home remain impossible to trust.

Instead of fighting the uncertainty, the smarter route is to isolate a player who can still profit from Spurs doing some things right and that's where Dominic Solanke to score at 11/4 with Sky Bet comes to the party.

He's become something of a forgotten man, but Solanke is built to score in the Premier League. Goals in back-to-back games is a reminder of his talents.

There's also a bigger-picture motivation edge at play. With England's forward depth in focus, Solanke knows he's fighting to be a potential Harry Kane understudy this summer for England at the World Cup.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2

Dominic Solanke celebrates after doubling Spurs lead
Image: Dominic Solanke is 11/4 to score vs Man City

Sunderland vs Burnley, Monday 8pm, live on Sky Sports

Sunderland vs Burnley

Sunderland remain the only Premier League team unbeaten at home this season. That is wild.

But trends do snap and, in betting, timing when to step in to profit from such a run ending is a key weapon to use when trying to profit in this game. It's 19/5 with Sky Bet to end here - a price on a Burnley win that is too big to pass up.

The absence of Granit Xhaka is pivotal. We saw exactly how fragile Sunderland can be without their midfield reference point in their worst performance of the season away at West Ham. Without Xhaka's control, leadership and ability to dictate tempo, Sunderland lost structure, lost composure and were far too easy to play through.

Burnley need wins now. So their approach will be positive and the market is dangling a very juicy carrot towards us regarding their win prospects.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Jones Knows' best bets...

1pt treble: Marc Cucurella to be carded, Aston Villa to win & Neco Williams to be carded (36/1 with Sky Bet)

1pt on: Watara Endo to be carded (5/2 with Sky Bet)

1pt on: Harry Maguire to score (7/1 with Sky Bet)

Jones Knows' Profit & Loss record 25/26

Best Bet singles (1 unit) Best Bet multiples Total P+L
Matchday One 0 -1 -1
Matchday Two 0 -1 -2
Matchday Three 0 -1 -3
Matchday Four 0 -1 -4
Matchday Five +2.75 -1 -2.75
Matchday Six -1 -1 -4.75
Matchday Seven -1 0 -5.75
Matchday Eight -3 0 -8.75
Matchday Nine 0 -1 -9.75
Matchday 10 -1 -1 -11.75
Matchday 11 -1 0 -12.75
Matchday 12 -1 -1 -14.75
Matchday 13 -2 0 -16.75
Matchday 14 -1 -2 -19.75
Matchday 15 0 -1 -20.75
Matchday 16 0 -1 -21.75
Matchday 17 0 -1 -22.75
Matchday 18 0 -1 -23.75
Matchday 19 0 -1 -24.75
Matchday 20 -1 0 -25.75
Matchday 21 -4 0 -29.75
Matchday 22 0 -1 -30.75