Premier League predictions and best bets: Title race tremor! Tottenham to rock Arsenal in north London derby
Watch Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest, Crystal Palace vs Wolves, Fulham vs Sunderland, Arsenal vs Tottenham & Everton vs Man Utd live on Sky Sports
Saturday 21 February 2026 19:55, UK
Our football betting expert Jones Knows provides his insight across the weekend card of Premier League fixtures.
Crystal Palace vs Wolves, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports
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There's nothing quite as powerful in football betting as narrative meeting numbers.
Jorgen Strand Larsen facing former club Wolves for his new employers Crystal Palace? That's the sort of angle that gets the juices flowing.
The 25/1 on offer with Sky Bet for him to score and be carded is one of those prices that makes you double take. A player with a point to prove is a dangerous one.
We often see ex-players start these fixtures at full throttle. Emotion creeps in and emotion can lead to bookings. If he scores, the celebration could boil over. Both bets could land in one action. And they still have a chance of landing at separate points in the match.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Jorgen Strand Larsen to score and to be carded (25/1 with Sky Bet)
Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
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If you're looking at the straight win price on Liverpool at 4/5 away to Nottingham Forest, I'm with you.
Yet sometimes the sharper play isn't just backing the obvious outcome, it's backing the pattern that comes with it. Liverpool to win to nil at 23/10 looks a far more rewarding angle. When Liverpool win, they tend to shut the door. There's very little 'we'll outscore you 3-2' about their recent victories, especially in matches where the market expects them to take care of business.
All seven of their recent wins against teams they went off 4/5 or shorter to beat away from home were achieved to nil. When they dominate these types of fixtures, they control territory, limit transitions and squeeze the life out of opponents. It's the Arne Slot way.
Zoom out further and nine of their last 11 victories overall have been to nil, too.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1
Sunderland vs Fulham, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
This is one of those ultra-condensed markets where you could make a case for all three outcomes without really convincing yourself on any of them. The win prices are tight, hovering around the 17/10 mark for both and the handicap lines are cautious.
When that happens, the draw often becomes the value simply because it's the biggest price of the three.
At 23/10, you're being paid more for an outcome that fits the shape of the game. Sunderland at home are very competitive, well-drilled and rarely blown away. Fulham are organised, tactically mature and comfortable playing in tight margins away from home. These two may just cancel one another out.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Tottenham vs Arsenal, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Lots on the line with a backdrop of pure tension in the air. Tottenham are too big at 5/1 for the victory but the best bet revolves around cards.
The last 13 meetings have produced 5.3 yellows per game and I'd expect that average to be hit but the market has that covered.
So, heading to the player cards is advisable.
Martin Zubimendi is where my money is going at 11/4 with Sky Bet.
Zubimendi is a cynical player that does tend to get himself caught short in transition or talk his way into trouble in big atmospheres. He's been carded away at Liverpool, Sunderland and Chelsea - and three times in the Champions League already this season.
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His direct opponent here in Xavi Simons is another reason to get involved. He's an outstanding drawer of fouls and cards. And makes challenges look worse than they are, which is a key trait to when looking for value in card match-ups.
If you run his cards drawn data in league matches across the last three seasons, he's drawn 37 cards off opponents from just over 4,000 minutes of action. That's a card drawn every 108 minutes - almost one a game. Elite level skullduggery.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Martin Zubimendi to be carded (11/4 with Sky Bet)
Everton vs Manchester United, Monday 8pm, live on Sky Sports
Harry Maguire to be fouled at 5/6 with Sky Bet looks a cracking angle to attack.
Since breaking back into the United starting XI, this is a bet that's quietly been printing. He's been fouled in each of his last five starts, winning seven fouls in total across those matches. He attacks first contact aggressively, steps into midfield with the ball and isn't shy about putting his body between opponent and possession. When you play that way, contact follows.
His likely direct opponent, Thierno Barry, averages 1.75 fouls per 90 minutes. That's a forward who engages, presses hard and doesn't mind leaving a foot in when chasing back.
