Dave Tindall's tips have shown profits in 10 of the last 13 weeks. Get his best bets for the Manchester derby.
Dave Tindall's football tips have shown profits in 10 of the last 13 weeks. Get his best bets for tonight's Manchester derby
Man City v Man Utd
Before picking out some bets, let's look first at how Sky Bet price up Monday night's #unmissable showdown between Manchester City and Manchester United. City, who thrashed United 6-1 at Old Trafford in the reverse fixture are clear favourites at 11/10 while Sir Alex Ferguson's visitors are 12/5. The draw is 5/2. Despite being held 4-4 by Everton, United (three points clear with three games to play) remain in the box seat in the title race and are 4/9 favourites to retain their crown. City are 7/4 to be champions of England for the first time since 1968. Carlos Tevez, Sergio Aguero and Wayne Rooney are all priced up at 11/2 to score first and 6/4 to net anytime while, surprise surprise, volatile Mario Balotelli is 7/1 to be the first player carded. Including the Community Shield and their FA Cup meeting - both won 3-2 by United - all three meetings this season have featured five goals or more. Over 4.5 goals is priced at 7/2 on Monday night. No goals is 14/1 while it's 9/4 to be 0-0 at half-time.
The best bets......
It's easy to forget how incredible Manchester City's home record is. In the Premier League this season they've played 17 matches at the Etihad and won 16. Only Sunderland, who drew 3-3, have gone home with anything so, on that basis, getting odds-against (11/10) seems good business. However, expand the home form analysis to Cups and you'll find a 1-1 home draw with Napoli (Champions League) and back-to-back defeats by Liverpool (Carling Cup) and United (FA Cup) themselves. The Etihad isn't a fortress therefore and United, who boast the best away record in the Premier League, can use their vast experience of these situations to get the job done. If United do triumph, Wayne Rooney (who scored twice in the FA Cup clash at the Etihad) is almost certain to be heavily involved so the bet I like is for Rooney to score in a United win priced at 100/30. There's also an even money shot that takes the eye given how much the stats are in its favour. Twelve of City's last 15 games have seen more goals in the second half than the first and it would be no surprise if the first 45 minutes here are cagey. Therefore back 'second' in the half with most goals market at evens.
FA Cup final/Champions League final
After looking like it would be a season to forget, Chelsea fans now have two massive dates in their diaries - the FA Cup on May 5th and the Champions League final two weeks later on May 19th. Chelsea are clear favourites to land the first leg of a potential Cup double, with Sky Bet making them 4/6 to overcome Liverpool and 11/8 to do it in 90 minutes. The Reds are 11/10 to lift the trophy and 2/1 to win in regulation time. Fernando Torres and Luis Suarez both scored hat-tricks at the weekend and they're 40/1 and 66/1 respectively to repeat the feat at Wembley. More realistically, their anytime scorer prices are 6/4 and 2/1. Moving onto the Champions League and, as you might expect given that the game takes place in Bayern Munich's home stadium, Chelsea are the clear underdogs. Sky Bet's 90 minute market reads 8/11 Bayern, 3/1 Chelsea, 5/2
