Premier League & FA Cup predictions and best bets: Reaction expected from Chelsea in FA Cup semi-final

Our football betting expert Jones Knows offers his insight across the weekend action.

Chelsea vs Leeds, FA Cup semi-final, Sunday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6!

Opposing goals in matches at Wembley remains a sustainable long-term betting strategy. It might be the mecca of English football - to play there is every footballer's dream - but I'm convinced the place saps the momentum out of a game.

Maybe the jeopardy of what is at stake plays a part, which in turn leads to low-scoring matches, but I think games there rarely spark into life. The numbers remain damning and provide hard evidence that Wembley is a place to back low scores.

And, the under goals theory in matches at Wembley is certainly at play in this game.

Across the last 51 domestic and European matches played at Wembley, the average goals per game is at 1.9 and 92 per cent of those games have landed for under 3.5 goal backers which is a 4/11 shot here and is a great starting point for those planning on building something via the BuildABet function.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0

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There's usually a sweet spot in the fouls market where role, match-up and price collide and this looks like one of them.

Michael Kayode to commit two or more fouls at 9/4 with Sky Bet makes plenty of appeal when you break down what he's walking into here.

His direct opponent is Matheus Cunha and he's exactly the type of forward who drags defenders into trouble. Cunha is averaging two fouls drawn per game this season, built on sharp movement, close control and a willingness to go down under contact.

Kayode made two fouls in the reverse fixture so at 9/4, you're effectively betting on a repeat of a scenario we've already seen.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

Jones Knows best bet:

1pt treble on Aston Villa to win, Wolves double chance & Southampton to qualify for FA Cup final (36/1 with Sky Bet)

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