Graham Hunter expects Manchester United to attempt to buy Nicolas Otamendi from Valencia this summer, but insists it would make more sense for the La Liga side to resist cashing in on their Argentine defender.
Valencia sit fourth in La Liga, three points clear of Sevilla in fifth with nine games remaining, and look set to qualify for the Champions League.
And Hunter says that even if United come in with a £50million bid, the answer from Valencia is not as straightforward as it seems.
The Spanish football expert told Sky Sports: "Manchester United's interest in aquiring Otamendi is well established. Therefore, I would expect them to try to buy him in the summer.
"If they come in with £50million then Valencia have a decision to make.
"It is better football sense for Valencia's level to use the good players they have got to earn Champions League revenue."
Otamendi has been in fine form for Valencia this season, and has attracted interest from across Europe.
And Hunter admits that if Valencia do not qualify for the Champions League, they are far less likely to keep star players as the bigger European sides come sniffing.
He added: "Of course if they don't get to the Champions League, then you could say everybody is for sale.
"If Valencia finish fifth, then their financial situation is such that big clubs will be able to pick off their best players."