Analysis
Premier League predictions & Jones Knows' best bets: Liverpool vs Brighton, Man Utd vs Bournemouth and more!
Our tipster Lewis Jones landed more profit with his best bets last weekend; watch Crystal Palace vs Newcastle, Hull vs Brentford, Liverpool vs Brighton, Man Utd vs Bournemouth & Sunderland vs Leeds live on Sky Sports
Saturday 24 October 2026 17:46, UK
Our top tipster Lewis Jones, aka Jones Knows, provides his analysis and betting insight for a busy weekend of Premier League action.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports
Sometimes the best betting angles are the ones that make you feel uncomfortable. Backing a goalless first half when Crystal Palace's defence has been leaking goals like a sieve certainly falls into that category, but there is a compelling reason to think the market might be looking in the wrong direction.
Palace have conceded two or more goals in 11 of their last 13 Premier League games. The underlying numbers are just as ugly.
But something has to give.
Pierre Sage admitted as much after the 5-0 humiliation against Brighton, saying he needed to change something. Reading between the lines, that could mean a much more conservative approach against Newcastle. Palace surely cannot afford to keep playing so openly, leaving themselves exposed time and again. A no-risk, no-thrills first half might be exactly what the doctor ordered.
That makes 0-0 at half-time an intriguing price at 5/2 with Sky Bet.
And the broader numbers support the idea. Twenty-one of the last 45 Premier League matches have been goalless at the break.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0
Hull vs Brentford, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports
Hull's direct approach, spearheaded by the all-action Oli McBurnie, is creating a particularly interesting trend when it comes to opposition centre-backs.
Centre-backs are averaging 1.5 fouls drawn per 90 minutes against Hull. That makes sense when you consider the way McBurnie competes physically, attacks the ball and makes life uncomfortable for defenders. When a team plays with that level of directness, there are plenty of opportunities for centre-backs to be fouled.
Kristoffer Ajer at 10/11 with Sky Bet to be at least once looks a great candidate to keep this trend ticking over, having already drawn three fouls across his last two games.
We're backing a pattern that has been established in Hull's matches, with McBurnie's style of play providing a logical explanation for why it is happening.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Kristoffer Ajer to be fouled at least once (10/11 with Sky Bet)
Liverpool vs Brighton, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!
Are Brighton genuine Premier League title contenders? It might sound a little premature, but Fabian Hurzeler's record against the division's elite demands serious attention.
Since his appointment in 2024, Brighton have collected a league-high 19 points from 13 games against Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City.
Across those fixtures, they have scored 20 goals and conceded 17, winning the aggregate scoreline 20-17 against three of the most powerful teams in English football. Jaw-dropping.
Brighton are brave without the ball. They were playing a different sport last weekend against Crystal Palace.
Anfield is an intimidating place to visit, of course, and Liverpool's quality makes this a serious test. But Brighton's record suggests they should not be priced as outsiders merely because of the badge on the other side.
At 11/8 with Sky Bet, the draw no bet gives us some protection if the teams share the points, while still offering an attractive return if Brighton can pull off another statement result.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Man Utd vs Bournemouth, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!
Sunday 25th October 12:30pm
Kick off 2:00pm
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Manchester United are strong favourites to win this game. Let that sink in for a moment.
Seven points from their opening seven Premier League games represents their worst start to a top-flight season in 37 years, while they have gone seven matches without a win in all competitions, losing four and drawing three. This is a team struggling to convince anyone that they have the answers, yet the market still wants us to believe they should be trusted to get the job done.
I'm not buying it.
There is a worrying lack of togetherness about United. Bruno Fernandes' body language has been telling and his post-match comments following the Como game did little to suggest a group pulling in the same direction.
Bournemouth, meanwhile, have every reason to travel to Old Trafford believing they can get something. They are unbeaten in their last six meetings with United and have scored 15 goals across those games.
The draw no bet market offers a useful safety net as our stake is returned if the game finishes level while a Bournemouth win lands at 11/8 with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-3 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Bournemouth draw no bet (11/8 with Sky Bet)
Sunderland vs Leeds, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!
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There is a strong case for keeping things simple and taking the biggest price of the three outcomes.
Backing Premier League draws has been a profitable strategy across the last two seasons, returning a very tidy +46 points to £1 level stakes. Of course, past profits do not guarantee future returns but it is a useful reminder that the draw is often overlooked by punters that gravitate towards picking a winner.
Leeds are an especially interesting team to focus on. They have drawn eight of their last 16 Premier League games. That is a significant enough pattern to take seriously when assessing a price of 21/10 with Sky Bet for the draw. Back the bet no-one wants to back.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Jones Knows' best bets...
- Liam Delap to be carded (3/1 with Sky Bet)
- Aston Villa double chance (6/5 with Sky Bet)
- Fulham to score over 1.5 goals (Evens with Sky Bet)
- Levi Colwill to be carded (4/1 with Sky Bet)
- Kristoffer Ajer to be fouled at least once (10/11 with Sky Bet)
- Bournemouth draw no bet (11/8 with Sky Bet)
