Monaco v Borussia Dortmund preview: German side battling to overturn 3-2 deficit
Wednesday 19 April 2017 21:29, UK
Borussia Dortmund face a battle to overturn a 3-2 deficit when they travel to Monaco for the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final on Wednesday.
It takes place a week after the rescheduled first leg, which was delayed 24 hours after several explosions went off near the Dortmund coach and left defender Marc Bartra with a fractured arm.
Kylian Mbappe then scored twice as a struggling Dortmund fell to a defeat, and will now need a big display in Monaco to make the last four. The French side, meanwhile, are hoping for a first trip to to the semi-finals since they got to the final in 2004.
Team news
Tiemoue Bakayoko will return from suspension for Monaco, but Fabinho will miss the game after being cautioned in Dortmund.
Benjamin Mendy, who is a reported summer Premier League target, will also come back in for Leonardo Jardim's side after missing the first leg.
Bartra will be out for four weeks as he recovers from his wrist injury, but Marco Reus could start for Dortmund after making his return from injury in the 3-1 win over Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga on Saturday.
Opta stats
All five previous teams winning 3-2 away from home in the first leg of their Champions League knockout tie have progressed to the next round.
Monaco have won four of their last five home games against German opposition (D1), in all competitions. In fact, their only defeat on home soil versus a team from Germany was against Borussia Monchengladbach in the UEFA Cup in October 1996 (0-1).
Monaco can reach the semis of the Champions League for the fourth time after 1993/94, 1997/98 and 2003/04. No other French team has made the last four more than once.
Monaco have won 70 per cent of their home games in the Champions League (21 out of 30). Among clubs to have hosted at least 30 games, only Real Madrid (76 per cent), Barcelona (73 per cent) and Bayern Munich (71 per cent) have a better rate.
Monaco have conceded 15 goals in the Champions League this season, more than any other team among the remaining quarter-finalists.
Only Barcelona and Bayern Munich (4) have been awarded more penalties than Monaco (3) in this season's Champions League. However, none of them have found the back of the net.
Borussia Dortmund have lost eight of their last 11 games in the Champions League knockout stages (W3).
Charlie's prediction
It was absolutely disgraceful from UEFA that Dortmund had to play the first leg last week. It's not Monaco's fault and I know they're in a title race, but this game should be the first leg.
Once again you've got to back both teams to score as Dortmund will go all out to win this and avenge the injustice they must feel.
All eyes will be on the boy Mbappe again. He is similar to Anthony Martial in terms of his pace, power and movement and is on the edge of being a superstar, although he's not got the finesse of Thierry Henry.
I can see another night of it being close, but I do think with these potential world-class players that they have, Monaco will get the result they need.
Charlie predicts: 2-2 and Mbappe to score first - 55/1 with Sky Bet
Betting
Dortmund are 9/4 outsiders to qualify but 5/4 favourites on the night, with Monaco 7/4 to progress with another win and 29/10 to do so with a draw. Jardim's men were cut from 16/1 to 15/2 to win the competition after their first-leg win, while their visitors are out to 22/1.
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the 7/2 favourite in the first goalscorer betting and enhanced from 3/1 to 4/1 to bag a brace in Sky Bet's Price Boosts, which also enhance Radamel Falcao from 4/1 to 5/1 to net first.