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Premier League predictor: Arsenal have edge over Manchester United

Image: Arsenal are the favourites to win ReUnited this weekend according to the Sky Sports Predictor

With pressure building on Jose Mourinho, Arsenal are narrow favourites to beat Manchester United at Old Trafford on Saturday, according to Sky Sports’ Premier League Predictor.

Our result-predicting supercomputer suggests the Gunners have a 36 per cent chance of winning the ReUnited match-up - though there is a 34 per cent chance of a United victory and a 30 per cent chance of a draw.

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Arsenal also remain the Predictor's favourites for the Premier League title, despite currently lying in fourth place - two points behind pace-setters Liverpool.

United, on the other hand, continue to be given just a one per cent chance of winning the league - the same chance as being relegated. They're given just a 16 per cent chance of making the top four.

Sky Sports Predictor for the weekend's PL games

Home team Away team Home win Away win Draw
Man Utd Arsenal 34% 36% 30%
C Palace Man City 24% 49% 26%
Everton Swansea 63% 12% 25%
So'ton Liverpool 35% 35% 30%
Stoke B'mouth 53% 19% 29%
S'land Hull 51% 20% 29%
Watford Leicester 37% 33% 30%
Spurs West Ham 74% 7% 20%
M'Boro Chelsea 25% 48% 27%
West Brom Burnley 53% 19% 28%

In the other games, home victories are likely for Everton, Stoke, Tottenham, West Brom and notably Sunderland in their clash with fellow strugglers Hull.

Southampton vs Liverpool and Watford vs Leicester are expected to be close-run affairs, while Manchester City and Chelsea are favourites to win away at Crystal Palace and Middlesbrough respectively.               

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The Premier Predictor uses an algorithm to predict results from a range of factors, including previous success, recent form, home advantage, winning margin and schedule.

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It's based on a system originally used to rank chess players, but Sky Sports have tweaked it for use in football.

Teams compete for ranking points - the number of points they win or lose depends on the margin of victory or defeat in each match, the quality of their opposition, and whether they are playing at home or away.

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Predictions for matches - and eventual league positions - are then made based on analysis of the relationship between the Premier Predictor rankings and match results in Premier League matches dating back to 1995.

Check out the full predicted table below:

Sky Sports Predictor for the final Premier League table

Team Winner Top 4 Relegated Av. points in a season PP rankling points PP points change
Arsenal 31% 83% <1% 72 705 -8
Chelsea 25% 80% <1% 71 677 27
Liverpool 18% 73% <1% 69 670 23
Man City 16% 68% <1% 68 685 -14
Spurs 8% 53% <1% 65 669 8
Man Utd 1% 16% 1% 57 577 22
Everton <1% 9% 2% 55 514 -27
Leicester <1% 4% 5% 51 530 -21
Burnley <1% 3% 6% 51 393 6
So'ton <1% 4% 7% 50 551 -13
Watford <1% 2% 11% 48 430 -23
West Ham <1% 1% 13% 47 427 -4
West Brom <1% 1% 15% 47 444 21
B'mouth <1% 1% 17% 46 386 -14
Stoke <1% 1% 20% 46 434 4
M'Boro <1% 1% 22% 45 420 14
C Palace <1% <1% 27% 44 407 -6
Hull <1% <1% 34% 43 335 13
Swansea <1% <1% 54% 39 379 -22
S'land <1% <1% 66% 37 366 14

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