Premier League Predictions and best bets: Nottingham Forest to turn heat up on Ange Postecoglou and Spurs
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Friday 27 December 2024 10:43, UK
Our football betting expert Jones Knows is back to provide more Premier League insight and sees more misery for Tottenham at Nottingham Forest.
Brighton vs Brentford, Friday, 7.30pm
It's the football betting guru derby. Owners Tony Bloom and Matthew Benham both made their fortunes beating the betting markets using ahead-of-their-time models and have now built two of the best-run football empires in the world, especially in Brighton's case and I want to be with them here.
Brentford have lost 19 of their last 24 matches away at Premier League teams and are a very one-dimensional and stale team on the road.
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The market does like them in certain spots which always does make me think they're too short - and I think Brighton have got a great chance of winning this game, especially as Brentford are missing their best player in Ethan Pinnock. In the 19 games without Pinnock in the Premier League since the start of the 22/23 season their win percentage drops from 40 per cent to 15 per cent.
I'm very greedy though when it comes to backing outright short prices, and I'm always looking to boost where possible and I think adding both teams to score to the Brighton win is worth it in this case when it takes the price to 7/4 with Sky Bet. Both teams have scored in 14 of Brighton's last 15 games in all competitions. And if you had backed the opposition to beat Brentford and both teams to score in their last eight away games you'd have landed a winner at odds-against prices seven times.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Brighton to win & both teams to score (7/4 with Sky Bet)
Arsenal vs Ipswich, Friday, 8.15pm
"It is crystal clear that we are going to have to show a different side of us in these next few games," said Ipswich boss Kieran McKenna after his team were ripped apart by Newcastle.
Reading between the lines, this means that Ipswich are going to slip into a deep defensive block, frustrate and try to stay in the game. It's a defensive structure that Arsenal have struggled against this season, most notably in their 0-0 with Everton.
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It's doubtful whether Ipswich can repeat that level of organisation but with this one-way game likely to be on the cards there are betting angles to exploit with Arsenal's corner lines. I think they could rack up a healthy number here and the 11/10 with Sky Bet for nine or more Arsenal corners should go close if Ipswich can stay in the game early on.