Premier League predictions and best bets: Trends to point to draw in Liverpool vs Arsenal
Watch 215 Premier League games live on Sky Sports this season with Liverpool vs Arsenal and Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace all live on Sunday
Sunday 31 August 2025 20:14, UK
Our football betting expert Jones Knows puts forward his predictions...
Liverpool vs Arsenal, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6!
- Sky Sports to show 215 live PL games from this season
- Got Sky? Watch Premier League games LIVE on your phone📱
- Not got Sky? Get Sky Sports or stream with no contract on NOW📺
Ask yourself this: would Arne Slot and Mikel Arteta take a draw right now? The answer is yes, isn't it? Categorically.
That makes the draw a huge runner from a betting point of view.
It's very unusual to have a fixture played before Gameweek four involving two title rivals. Looking at the past trends when looking at this type of fixture played early on in the season, draws are very common.
The last five fixtures in the Premier League before Gameweek four to be played between teams that finished that season in the top three all ended in stalemates - the most recent of which was Arsenal's 2-2 with Manchester City last season.
The draw here is the bet at 23/10 with Sky Bet. It's the bet of the weekend.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Back the draw (23/10 with Sky Bet)
Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace, Sunday 7pm, live on Sky Sports
- Sky Sports to show 215 live PL games from this season
- Got Sky? Watch Premier League games LIVE on your phone📱
- Not got Sky? Get Sky Sports or stream with no contract on NOW📺
If you need some evidence of why Oliver Glasner is such an incredible manager, just look at his record against Unai Emery, who is arguably regarded as the best pound-for-pound manager in Europe.
Glasner has won four of the last five meetings with Emery with the aggregate score reading a hefty 17-4 in favour of the Austrian.
Emery just hasn't found a way of breaking down Palace's mid-to-low block and Glasner's tactic of utilising Ismaila Sarr's pace and power has been so dangerous.
Sarr has been phenomenal in these fixtures, registering seven goal involvements in his last three appearances against Villa. That included two goals and an assist in the 3-0 FA Cup semi-final win. He is 2/1 with Sky Bet to either score or assist again.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Jones Knows' Best Bet:
1pt double on: Over 2.5 goals in Nottingham Forest vs West Ham & draw in Liverpool vs Arsenal (5/1 with Sky Bet)