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Monday 5 February 2024 21:02, UK
Our tipster Jones Knows provides his betting insight and analysis for Monday Night Football as he hunts some value in Sky Bet's markets.
This won't be a straightforward night for Pep Guardiola's side but those taking them on at 4/11 with Sky Bet are likely to end up with burnt fingers such is their focus and supreme reliability at this time of year. City won 14 of 15 Premier League games between the 22nd-36th Premier League gameweeks last season. This is their time.
My punting instincts have taken me to the player fouls market where Ruben Dias rates as a fair wager to make two or more fouls at 100/30 with Sky Bet. The Brentford front two of Neal Maupay and Ivan Toney bring the nuisance factor to the table in that they are very smart at winning fouls.
Since being paired together in their last two fixtures, they've won 12 fouls between them. It's a ratio that should stay consistent so it certainly brings Dias into the mix in terms of his foul probability. He's made two or more fouls in seven of his last 13 starts, making 17 fouls in total. He will fight fire with fire up against the Brentford duo. He's a big price.
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