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Aston Villa vs Leicester City: Premier League preview, team news, stats, predictions, kick-off time

Aston Villa forward Leon Bailey will be out for "a number of weeks"; Leicester's Youri Tielemans and James Justin have resumed training; follow Villa vs Leicester in our dedicated live match blog and watch live on Super Sunday on Sky Sports Premier League from 4pm; kick-off 4.30pm.

Aston Villa vs Leicester City

Team news, stats and prediction ahead of Aston Villa vs Leicester in the Premier League on Sunday; kick-off 4.30pm.

Team news

Aston Villa have been dealt an injury blow ahead of their home game against Leicester with the news that Leon Bailey will be out for "a number of weeks".

The 24-year-old forward, signed from Bayer Leverkusen this summer for a reported fee of £30m, hobbled off with what looked like a thigh problem during the 2-1 home defeat to Manchester City on Wednesday night. Scans have revealed damage to a quad muscle and boss Steven Gerrard has said Bailey will not be back before Christmas.

An unspecified injury has kept Danny Ings out recently but the striker is nearing a return and a decision will be made on his fitness on Saturday.

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A preview of matchweek 15 in the Premier League as West Ham host table-toppers Chelsea, Watford welcome Manchester City and Leicester make the trip to Aston Villa.

Leicester's Youri Tielemans (calf) and James Justin have both resumed training, but Sunday's match may come too soon for the duo.

James Maddison is being treated for a glute issue following the midweek draw at Southampton but the midfielder is expected to be fit.

Ricardo Pereira (hamstring) and long-term absentee Wesley Fofana remain out.

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How to follow

Follow Aston Villa vs Leicester in our dedicated live match blog and watch live on Super Sunday on Sky Sports Premier League from 4pm; kick-off 4.30pm.

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Last time out...

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FREE TO WATCH: Highlights from Manchester City's win against Aston Villa in the Premier League.

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FREE TO WATCH: Highlights from Southampton's draw with Leicester in the Premier League.

Jones Knows' prediction

It's really difficult to seriously fancy Leicester in any Premier League match given the way Brendan Rodgers is seemingly neglecting their huge defensive issues. They rank near the bottom in all the main defensive categories. Only Newcastle have faced more shots (227) and only Norwich have faced more shots on target (75). They have not kept a clean sheet in their last 13 Premier League games, conceding 25 goals during that period. It's a run which is their longest without a clean sheet since 2002.

Such abysmal numbers are putting a huge amount of pressure on the Leicester attack to score at least two goals to get a result in a match. And, judging by what we've seen from Steven Gerrard's Aston Villa at the back, they will make it very tough for Jamie Vardy and co.

Set-pieces look an area of strength under Gerrard - and an obvious negative for Leicester. Another failure to defend a corner at Southampton resulted in their seventh goal being shipped via that route this season. In Tyrone Mings, Villa possess a player with great authority and presence in the opposition area. And more importantly, his prowess isn't really mirrored in the market. He's had six efforts on goal since Gerrard took over, scoring in the 2-0 win over Brighton. All his shots and goals prices are worth a look, but the standout is the 11/2 with Sky Bet for him to have a headed shot on target.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

BETTING ANGLE: Tyrone Mings to have a headed shot on target (11/2 with Sky Bet)

Opta stats

  • Aston Villa have lost their last two home league games against Leicester - only once have they lost three in a row against them at Villa Park, doing so between 1936 and 1954.
  • Leicester have won five of their last seven league games against Aston Villa (D1 L1), as many as they had in their previous 22 league meetings with the Villans (D9 L8).
  • In Premier League history, only Middlesbrough (15 v Man Utd), Fulham (14 v Man City) and West Brom (13 v Arsenal) have hosted a side more often without registering a single clean sheet than Aston Villa and their 12 previous home games with Leicester, conceding 23 times across those matches.
  • Leicester are without a clean sheet in their last 14 away Premier League games, since a 0-0 draw with Wolves in February. However, they have also scored in all 14 games, with Burnley the last top-flight team having a longer away run both scoring and conceding, between April 1961 and March 1962 (16 games in a row).
  • Since their return to the Premier League in 2019, no side has lost more games on Sundays in the competition than Aston Villa (14). Meanwhile, only Tottenham (24) and Manchester United (18) have won more Sunday games than Leicester (17) in the same period.
  • Both previous meetings between Aston Villa boss Steven Gerrard and Leicester's Brendan Rodgers ended in 1-0 home wins - one apiece for Rangers and Celtic in the 2018-19 Scottish Premiership.
  • Leicester striker Jamie Vardy has scored five goals in his last five Premier League games against Aston Villa, while teammate Harvey Barnes has been involved in four goals in his last three against the Villans (3 goals, 1 assist).
  • Aston Villa manager Steven Gerrard suffered only his second league defeat in 55 matches last time out against Manchester City (W44 D9), losing the other with Rangers in August against Dundee United. He has never lost consecutive league games as a manager, while only four players have made more Premier League appearances under Brendan Rodgers than Gerrard did during their time together at Liverpool (99).
  • Leicester manager Brendan Rodgers has won all six of his Premier League away games against Aston Villa - no manager has a better 100% win rate away against an opponent in the competition's history (Jürgen Klopp also 6/6 vs Crystal Palace).
  • Ollie Watkins has scored 18 goals in 49 Premier League appearances for Aston Villa - the last Englishman to score more than 18 goals in his first 50 games in the competition was Charlie Austin in October 2016 (23 goals).

Premier League Preview - Gerrard's Villa impact assessed | Rafa's problems at Everton | Brilliant Bernardo Silva

Peter Smith is joined by Sky Sports News Midlands reporter Rob Dorsett, features writer Nick Wright and football journalist Oliver Yew to look ahead to the Premier League weekend.

PART 1 | Rob Dorsett discusses Steven Gerrard's impact at Aston Villa, the club's ambitious plans, and the reasons behind Leicester's underwhelming start to the season.

PART 2 | Nick Wright assesses the problems facing Rafa Benitez at Everton and what Mikel Arteta must do to get a misfiring Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang back in form.

PART 3 | Oliver Yew reflects on Bernardo Silva's brilliant performances for Manchester City, the strength in depth at Pep Guardiola's disposal, and whether there's a chance of an upset at Watford.

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