Premier League predictions: Wolves can end Liverpool's 64-game unbeaten home run

Watch West Ham vs Man Utd, Chelsea vs Leeds, West Brom vs Crystal Palace, Sheffield United vs Leicester, Spurs vs Arsenal and Brighton vs Southampton all on Sky Sports Premier League

Image: Premier League predictions: Wolves to beat Liverpool?

Fresh from predicting winners at 9/2 and 5/1 in his column last weekend, Jones Knows is back with predictions aplenty for every Premier League game.

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pl vault chelsea v leeds 2003 2:28
Ahead of their clash live on Sky Sports, we look back at a five-goal thriller between Claudio Ranieri's Chelsea and Terry Venables' Leeds United

West Brom vs Crystal Palace, Sunday 12pm, live on Sky Sports

Live Renault Super Sunday

Even Slaven Bilic looked apologetic when shaking Chris Wilder's hand last weekend as West Brom broke their winless run. How they survived with a clean sheet despite conceding an xG figure of 3.37 is a mystery wrapped in a riddle. I'll never work that one out.

Despite a much-needed three points, the Baggies still remain statistically the worst team in the Premier League. The 'expected goals scored' model has them bottom of the pile with a return of just 5.93 xG from their 10 games as does their 'expected goals against' figure of 20.53 - that's 4.3 more than any other side. Results eventually catch up with this type of performance data and Bilic will do well to keep their heads above water.

Jones Knows betting column!

Jones Knows betting column!

Two winners from two picks last weekend - a Jack Harrison assist (5/1) & Kurt Zouma card (9/2). What's he on this weekend?

With Fulham improving and Sheffield United bound to turn performances into results at some stage, the 11/4 for West Brom to finish bottom remains an investment to seriously consider. I'm happy to take them on this weekend with reliable travellers Palace, who are playing with slightly more adventure this season and the return of Wilfried Zaha is an obvious but important factor.

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-2 (17/2 with Sky Bet)

Sheffield United vs Leicester, Sunday 2.15pm, live on Sky Sports

Live Renault Super Sunday

Chris Wilder can't catch a break.

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Not only was there an alien-like forcefield installed around West Brom's goal last weekend as his side failed to score on an xG of 3.37 - he's now about to face Leicester who have three of their key stars returning from injury.

Wilfred Ndidi, Caglar Soyuncu and Ricardo Pereira all are a huge upgrade on Leicester's back-ups, especially Ricardo, who is one of the best attacking full-backs in the Premier League. His energy, dribbling and final third quality has been sorely missed for nine months.

If the Blades can get their noses in front then this might be where their season turns but although Leicester aren't creating many chances, they have a habit of taking them when it matters. Jamie Vardy just loves scoring against Sheffield United too - he might just be cupping an ear towards the empty stands at Bramall Lane again in this one.

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-2 (17/2 with Sky Bet)

Tottenham vs Arsenal, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports

Live Renault Super Sunday

Mikel Arteta - once a tactical genius, now a poor man's Unai Emery.

Of course, I jest, that's far from the truth.

He wasn't the second coming when he was out-mastering Pep Guardiola en route to winning an FA Cup and he's far from washed up has-been now.

However, his chat this week about Arsenal's crossing stats has left me wondering whether he is as savvy as many made him out to be. As my colleague Adam Bate wrote in his brilliant analysis of Areta's crossing statistics: "It can sometimes be seen as a sign of desperation, indicative of a team that has resorted to flinging balls into the box when unable to break down a defence by more efficient means."

Nail on head. Arsenal's patterns of play in forward areas are coming across as desperate. Barring a Gabriel header from one of those hopeful crosses and a Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang penalty, Arsenal haven't troubled the scorers in their last six games. The last thing they need is a Jose Mourinho marshalled defence to break down.

Since the 3-3 draw with West Ham, Spurs have shipped just one goal in five games with clean sheets against Manchester City and Chelsea to their name. It's time to go back to the Tottenham to win by goal theory again, this week you can get 11/4 - no manager does it better than Jose.

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 2-1 (7/1 with Sky Bet)

Liverpool vs Wolves, Sunday 7.15pm

Everything has its price. And the key to becoming a winning punter in this game is to know when to act when the odds are just too good to sniff at. This is one of those situations. Wolves are just too big to ignore at 5/1 to end Liverpool's club record unbeaten run at home.

Jurgen Klopp's men have shown enough vulnerability in recent weeks to present an argument that a well-drilled, top-six side in the Premier League can roll them over. Wolves tick those boxes.

Yes, Liverpool were magnificent against Leicester but woeful against Atalanta, distinctly average against Brighton and second-best for long periods until they went ahead against Ajax. And now, with Alisson joining their long list of absentees for this encounter, it's time to take them on. The sample size is small, granted, but in the 11 games without Alisson since he signed for Liverpool, Klopp's men have conceded 1.5 goals per fixture in comparison to 0.7 with him in the team. And, for the two games without him this season, Liverpool were thumped 7-2 at Aston Villa and drew at Everton.

Caoimhin Kelleher made two brilliant saves as he was catapulted into the limelight against Ajax but his inexperience wasn't really targeted by the Dutch champions. I'm sure Wolves will be doing more to test him whenever possible from set-pieces, crosses and shots from outside the box. With Adama Traore back in full-flow and previous encounters between these two being tight - remember, Wolves have beaten Liverpool twice in the FA Cup under Nuno - it's time to jump on the Wolves train.

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-2 (16/1 with Sky Bet)

ALSO LOOK OUT FOR: Leander Dendoncker to have a shot at Evens

Brighton vs Southampton, Monday 8pm, live on Monday Night Football

Live MNF

Ralph Hasenhuttl is a brilliant football manager; regular readers will know this. But he's also a magician. He is sprinkling an almighty outperformance into his Southampton attack that is quite staggering when assessing the numbers. In their last seven games, Hasenhuttl's sprightly boys have created chances equating to an expected goals figure of 6.7, so just under a goal a game. Yet, with some deadly finishing from Che Adams and James Ward-Prowse fast becoming the next David Beckham, Southampton have scored 16 goals in that period, no team have scored more during that time. It's a colossal overperformance and no matter my belief in Hasenhuttl to work miracles, it's unsustainable.

This is an enticing match-up when it comes to expected goals data and Brighton, opposite to Southampton, are the perineal underperformers when it comes to analysing performance data. They have won the xG battle in seven of their 10 fixtures but have just two wins to their name.

Usually, data is key to correctly analysing a football match. But this occasion it's left my brain frazzled. Best go for the draw then.

JONES KNOWS PREDICTS: 1-1 (5/1 with Sky Bet)

Pitch to Post Preview: Redknapp assesses Tottenham and Arsenal; Plus the return of fans, Chelsea's striker dilemma, and more!

This week on the Pitch to Post Preview Podcast, Jamie Redknapp joins Peter Smith and Adam Bate to look ahead to the north London derby and assess Tottenham and Arsenal's contrasting form.

Sky Sports News reporter Rob Dorsett also has the latest from Leicester and the future of Jonny Evans, while we discuss whether Olivier Giroud should be Chelsea's first-choice striker and Man Utd's tricky trip to West Ham.

Plus we hear from a Charlton supporter about the experience of returning to watch live football. Adam also makes his bold Pitch for what he thinks will happen in this weekend's Premier League action - and it's good news for the teams in the relegation zone…

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Win £250,000 for free with Super 6!

Win £250,000 for free with Super 6!

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